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Nottinghamshire vs Leicestershire Toss Prediction (NOT vs LEI)

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Friday, 10 July 2026 · 23:00 IST · Trent Bridge, Nottingham · Cricket

Toss prediction page launched 10 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Nottinghamshire vs Leicestershire match preview on 2 June 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called
Our predicted decision
bat first
From the article: "Expect the toss winner to bat, and note the swing here is larger than at a neutral ground."
What happened
Leicestershire elected to bat
Stamped 11 Jul, 09:30 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Nottinghamshire won by 6 wickets (with 10 balls remaining) ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Trent Bridge, Nottingham

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 40% of the time here

The toss went Leicestershire's way — they chose to bat, so Nottinghamshire chase. In this branch our model makes Nottinghamshire 64.8% — fair odds 1.54 (LEI 2.84) against a pre-toss baseline of 68.8%.

How we made this Nottinghamshire vs Leicestershire toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how the toss call is built.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for NOT vs LEI: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Nottinghamshire vs Leicestershire prediction →

NOT vs LEI toss prediction FAQ

Who won the NOT vs LEI toss?

Leicestershire won the NOT vs LEI toss and chose to bat first.

What did the toss winner choose in NOT vs LEI?

Leicestershire chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the NOT vs LEI match odds?

Meaningfully. Trent Bridge, Nottingham favours batting first (chases succeed only 40% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →