New Zealand vs India Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 69%.
What we know about this toss
- Captains bowl first here. 13 of 18 toss winners have fielded at Hagley Oval since 2019 (72%).(points to bowling first)
- Both sides like to bowl first. New Zealand have fielded in 8 of their last 10 tosses won; India have fielded in 7 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to bowling first)
- Evening start. Dew can reach the second innings (20:00 local).(points to bowling first)
- Chasing wins here. 10 of 16 decided men's T20 matches went to the side batting second (62.5%).(points to bowling first)
- Our call: bowl first — 69%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.
Last 10 tosses at Hagley Oval
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | New Zealand | Field | South Africa | No |
| 2026-01-31 | Northern Districts | Field | Northern Districts | Yes |
| 2026-01-30 | Auckland | Bat | Canterbury | Yes |
| 2025-10-20 | New Zealand | Field | England | No |
| 2025-10-18 | New Zealand | Field | No result | — |
| 2025-03-16 | New Zealand | Field | New Zealand | Yes |
| 2024-01-21 | Pakistan | Bat | Pakistan | No |
| 2024-01-19 | New Zealand | Field | New Zealand | Yes |
| 2022-10-14 | Pakistan | Field | Pakistan | Yes |
| 2022-10-13 | Bangladesh | Bat | Pakistan | Yes |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
What each side tends to do
New Zealand have chosen to field in 74 of the 128 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 8 field).
India have chosen to field in 95 of the 138 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 7 field).
Does the toss matter at Hagley Oval?
In 16 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 10 (62.5%).
Start: 07:00 UTC · 20:00 local time (evening match).
How this NZ vs IND toss prediction is made
We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.
Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.
Full method, dew and captaincy context: how we read captain decisions.
Call today’s matches. Take on our AI.
NZ vs IND toss prediction FAQ
What is the NZ vs IND toss prediction?
Bowl first — we put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 69%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.
Does winning the toss matter at Hagley Oval?
In 16 decided men's T20 matches at Hagley Oval in our data, the side batting second won 10 (62.5%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.
How is this toss prediction made?
Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.
What happened at the toss?
The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.
Where to bet on today's matches
- Best cricket betting apps in India: 10 apps rated, with the Android APK steps and the iPhone route
- Dafabet App: the Android APK in 5 steps
- UPI betting sites: which bookmakers take UPI, Paytm and PhonePe
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More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →
Last updated: 2026-10-22. Published 2026-10-22.