Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Toss Prediction (PAK vs SL)
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 72%.
✗ Decision missed · Sri Lanka elected to bat
Toss result
Sri Lanka won the toss and chose to bat.
Sri Lanka bat first
Stamped 9 Oct, 20:00 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Pakistan won by 4 wickets ✓ match-winner prediction correct
What we know about this toss
- Captains bowl first here. 37 of 52 toss winners have fielded at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium since 2020 (71%).(points to bowling first)
- The sides differ. Pakistan have fielded in 5 of their last 10 tosses won; Sri Lanka have fielded in 6 of their last 10 tosses won.(points neither way)
- Dew is coming. Evening start (18:00 local) with 69% humidity. The ball gets harder to grip in the second innings.(points to bowling first)
- Forecast: 25°C · humidity 69% · clear skies.(points neither way)
- Chasing wins about half the time here (26 of 50).(points neither way)
- Our call: bowl first — 72%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.
From our match preview
Our toss call for Pakistan vs Sri Lanka in Rawalpindi on 9 October 2026 is field first.
Last 10 tosses at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Pakistan | Field | Pakistan | Yes |
| 2025-11-27 | Pakistan | Field | Sri Lanka | No |
| 2025-11-25 | Zimbabwe | Bat | Sri Lanka | Yes |
| 2025-11-23 | Pakistan | Bat | Pakistan | No |
| 2025-11-22 | Sri Lanka | Bat | Pakistan | Yes |
| 2025-11-20 | Sri Lanka | Field | Zimbabwe | No |
| 2025-11-18 | Pakistan | Field | Pakistan | Yes |
| 2025-10-28 | Pakistan | Field | South Africa | No |
| 2025-05-19 | Karachi Kings | Field | Islamabad United | No |
| 2025-05-18 | Peshawar Zalmi | Field | Lahore Qalandars | No |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
Does the toss matter at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium?
In 50 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 26 (52%).
Start: 13:00 UTC · 18:00 local time (evening match).
Forecast at the start: 25°C · humidity 69% · clear skies
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-09 12:08 UTC.
How we made this Pakistan vs Sri Lanka toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full method, including venue toss patterns, dew and team news, see the venue pattern model.
Toss prediction page launched 6 October 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Pakistan vs Sri Lanka match preview.
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PAK vs SL toss prediction FAQ
Who won the PAK vs SL toss?
Sri Lanka won the PAK vs SL toss and chose to bat first.
What did the toss winner choose in PAK vs SL?
Sri Lanka chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain went the other way.
How does the toss affect the PAK vs SL match odds?
It hands the winner the choice of batting or chasing under the day's conditions. For this fixture we publish the toss call and grade it on our public ledger.
Where to bet on today's matches
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More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →