Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bowl first 68%

We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 68%.

Pakistan ODI Tri-Series, 2026 · 5th Match · Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · 08:00 UTC (13:00 local) · 13:30 IST · Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore

Why bowl first here

Bowl first 68% Bat first 32%
  • Split at this ground. 4 of 8 toss winners have fielded at Gaddafi Stadium since 2023 (50%); the men's one-day lean — 66% bowl first — tips it.
  • Day-night game. Starts at 13:00 local, so the second innings is played in the evening, when dew can come.
  • Chasing wins here. 4 of 7 decided men's one-day matches went to the side batting second (57.1%).
  • Our call: bowl first — 68%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.

Last 8 tosses at Gaddafi Stadium

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2026-10-25PakistanField——
2026-06-04AustraliaBatPakistanYes
2026-06-02PakistanFieldAustraliaNo
2025-03-05New ZealandBatNew ZealandNo
2025-02-22AustraliaFieldAustraliaYes
2025-02-10New ZealandFieldNew ZealandYes
2025-02-08New ZealandBatNew ZealandNo
2023-09-06BangladeshBatPakistanYes

Men's one-day matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records and our own toss records.

What each side tends to do

Pakistan have chosen to field in 85 of the 210 tosses they won in our men's one-day data (10 of the last 11 field).

Sri Lanka have chosen to field in 91 of the 246 tosses they won in our men's one-day data (4 of the last 11 field).

Does the toss matter at Gaddafi Stadium?

In 7 decided men's one-day matches here, the side batting second won 4 (57.1%).

Start: 08:00 UTC · 13:00 local time (day match).

How this PAK vs SL toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. Our call starts from what captains at Gaddafi Stadium have chosen when they won the toss. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

For the full method, dew and captaincy context, read the venue pattern model.

Telegram →
Play in Telegram (opens a new tab)

Call today’s matches. Take on our AI.

PAK vs SL toss prediction FAQ

What is the PAK vs SL toss prediction?

Bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 4 of 8 men's one-day tosses at Gaddafi Stadium (50.0%, 2023–2026). We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 68%. We predict the decision, not the coin. Whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Gaddafi Stadium?

In 7 decided men's one-day matches at Gaddafi Stadium in our data, the side batting second won 4 (57.1%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

We start from how often captains at Gaddafi Stadium have chosen to field when they won the toss. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →

Last updated: 2026-10-25. Published 2026-10-25.

Information on this page is for educational purposes.

Menu