Quetta Gladiators vs Rawalpindiz Toss Prediction (QG vs RW)

Friday, 10 April 2026 · 19:30 IST · National Stadium · PSL

Last updated: 7 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Quetta Gladiators vs Rawalpindiz match preview on 28 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "Field first. The National Stadium has a 60% chase win rate in PSL matches. Heavy dew under lights makes defending significantly harder. The toss winner will almost certainly choose to bowl."

What happened

Rawalpindiz elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 14:15 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Quetta Gladiators won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at National Stadium

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 60% here

The toss went Rawalpindiz's way — they chose to field, so Rawalpindiz chase. In this branch our model makes Quetta Gladiators 54.0% — fair odds 1.85 (RW 2.17) against a pre-toss baseline of 60.0%.

How we made this Quetta Gladiators vs Rawalpindiz toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue field-first method.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for QG vs RW: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Quetta Gladiators vs Rawalpindiz prediction →

QG vs RW toss prediction FAQ

Who won the QG vs RW toss?

Rawalpindiz won the QG vs RW toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in QG vs RW?

Rawalpindiz chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the QG vs RW match odds?

Meaningfully. National Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 60% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 6 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →