Sydney Thunder Women vs Melbourne Stars Women Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 56%.
✗ Decision missed · Melbourne Stars Women elected to bat
Toss result
Melbourne Stars Women won the toss and chose to bat.
Melbourne Stars Women bat first
What we know about this toss
- Captains bowl first here. 10 of 18 toss winners have fielded at Hurstville Oval in 2016–2020 (56%).(points to bowling first)
- The sides differ. Sydney Thunder Women have fielded in 7 of their last 10 tosses won; Melbourne Stars Women have batted in 6 of their last 10 tosses won.(points neither way)
- No dew. Daytime start (14:30 local). Conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
- Cloud cover. 77% cloud at the start helps the new ball.(points to bowling first)
- Batting first wins here. Only 7 of 17 chasing sides have won (41.2%).(points to batting first)
- Our call: bowl first — 56%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.
Last 10 tosses at Hurstville Oval
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-18 | Hobart Hurricanes | Field | Melbourne Stars | No |
| 2020-11-18 | Brisbane Heat | Field | Brisbane Heat | Yes |
| 2020-11-17 | Perth Scorchers | Field | Melbourne Stars | No |
| 2020-11-17 | Hobart Hurricanes | Field | Adelaide Strikers | No |
| 2020-11-08 | Perth Scorchers | Bat | Perth Scorchers | No |
| 2020-11-08 | Hobart Hurricanes | Field | Sydney Thunder | No |
| 2020-11-07 | Sydney Thunder | Field | Melbourne Renegades | No |
| 2020-10-25 | Adelaide Strikers | Field | Adelaide Strikers | Yes |
| 2020-10-25 | Melbourne Renegades | Field | No result | — |
| 2019-12-01 | Adelaide Strikers | Field | Sydney Sixers | No |
Women's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
What each side tends to do
Sydney Thunder Women have chosen to field in 46 of the 67 tosses they won in our women's T20 data (7 of the last 11 field).
Melbourne Stars Women have chosen to field in 42 of the 65 tosses they won in our women's T20 data (4 of the last 11 field).
Does the toss matter at Hurstville Oval?
In 17 decided women's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 7 (41.2%).
Start: 03:30 UTC · 14:30 local time (day match).
Forecast at the start: 31°C · humidity 27% · partly cloudy
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-12 00:08 UTC.
How this ST-W vs MS-W toss prediction is made
We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.
Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.
For the full method, including dew and team news, read our toss prediction approach.
Call today’s matches. Take on our AI.
ST-W vs MS-W toss prediction FAQ
What is the ST-W vs MS-W toss prediction?
Bowl first — we put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 56%. We predict the decision, not the coin. Whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.
Does winning the toss matter at Hurstville Oval?
In 17 decided women's T20 matches at Hurstville Oval in our data, the side batting second won 7 (41.2%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.
How is this toss prediction made?
Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.
What happened at the toss?
Melbourne Stars Women won the toss and chose to bat. Our call to field first was wrong.
Where to bet on today's matches
- Best cricket betting apps in India: 10 apps rated, with the Android APK steps and the iPhone route
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- UPI betting sites: which bookmakers take UPI, Paytm and PhonePe
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More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →
Last updated: 2026-10-12. Published 2026-10-10, toss result added 2026-10-12.