Hong Kong, China vs Maldives Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 55%.
What we know about this toss
- Captains bowl first here. 25 of 38 toss winners have fielded at YSD-UKM Cricket Oval since 2022 (66%).(points to bowling first)
- The sides differ. Hong Kong, China have fielded in 6 of their last 10 tosses won; Maldives have fielded in 5 of their last 10 tosses won.(points neither way)
- No dew. Daytime start (09:15 local): conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
- Cloud cover. 95% cloud at the start helps the new ball.(points to bowling first)
- Chasing wins here. 19 of 31 decided men's T20 matches went to the side batting second (61.3%).(points to bowling first)
- Our call: bat first — 55%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.
Last 10 tosses at YSD-UKM Cricket Oval
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Kuwait | Field | Kuwait | Yes |
| 2026-10-05 | Thailand | Field | Bahrain | No |
| 2024-09-09 | Kuwait | Field | No result | — |
| 2024-09-09 | Malaysia | Field | Malaysia | Yes |
| 2024-09-06 | Singapore | Field | Singapore | Yes |
| 2024-09-05 | Singapore | Field | Singapore | Yes |
| 2024-09-03 | Malaysia | Bat | Malaysia | No |
| 2024-09-03 | Hong Kong | Field | Hong Kong | Yes |
| 2024-09-02 | Mongolia | Field | Myanmar | No |
| 2024-09-02 | Maldives | Field | Kuwait | No |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
What each side tends to do
Hong Kong, China have chosen to field in 35 of the 61 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 6 field).
Maldives have chosen to field in 7 of the 13 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 6 field).
Does the toss matter at YSD-UKM Cricket Oval?
In 31 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 19 (61.3%).
Start: 01:15 UTC · 09:15 local time (day match).
Forecast at the start: 25°C · humidity 92% · overcast
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-10 18:08 UTC.
How this HK vs MDV toss prediction is made
We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.
Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.
Full method, dew and captaincy context: the venue field-first method.
Call today’s matches. Take on our AI.
HK vs MDV toss prediction FAQ
What is the HK vs MDV toss prediction?
Bat first — we put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 55%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.
Does winning the toss matter at YSD-UKM Cricket Oval?
In 31 decided men's T20 matches at YSD-UKM Cricket Oval in our data, the side batting second won 19 (61.3%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.
How is this toss prediction made?
Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.
What happened at the toss?
The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.
Where to bet on today's matches
- Best cricket betting apps in India: 10 apps rated, with the Android APK steps and the iPhone route
- Dafabet App: the Android APK in 5 steps
- UPI betting sites: which bookmakers take UPI, Paytm and PhonePe
More toss predictions
- MLY vs SIN · 12 Oct · ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Sub Regional Qualifier B 2026 bat
- CHN vs SAU · 12 Oct · ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Sub Regional Qualifier B 2026 bat
- HH-W vs ACTW · 11 Oct · T20 Spring Challenge 2026 bowl
- SS-W vs BH-W · 11 Oct · T20 Spring Challenge 2026 bowl
- MR-W vs PS-W · 12 Oct · T20 Spring Challenge 2026 bowl
- ST-W vs MS-W · 12 Oct · T20 Spring Challenge 2026 bowl
More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →
Last updated: 2026-10-10. Published 2026-10-10.