MI-W Mumbai Indians Women
UPW UP Warriorz
Womens Premier League
Mumbai Indians Women vs UP Warriorz Match Prediction
Last updated: 16 January 2026
Mumbai Indians enter this rematch as slight favourites despite losing to UP Warriorz just two days ago. MI-W sit 2nd with 4 points from 4 matches (2W-2L), while UPW are 5th with just 2 points (1W-3L). Captain Harmanpreet Kaur leads the Orange Cap race with 181 runs at a strike rate of 160.17. Nat Sciver-Brunt returned from illness to score 65 in the Jan 15 loss.
Team Context and Recent Form
Mumbai Indians (2W-2L, 4 pts, 2nd): Lost to UPW by 7 wickets on January 15 despite posting 161/5. Sciver-Brunt top-scored with 65 off 43 balls after missing the GG match due to illness. Harmanpreet was dismissed for 16. The bowling unit conceded 162 in 18.1 overs. Amelia Kerr leads their attack with 6 wickets at economy 6.41.
UP Warriorz (1W-3L, 2 pts, 5th): Finally broke their duck with a comprehensive 7-wicket win over MI on January 15. Harleen Deol was Player of the Match with an unbeaten 64 off 39 balls (12 fours). This came a day after she was controversially retired out on 47 against Delhi Capitals. Phoebe Litchfield has 150 runs this tournament. Captain Meg Lanning brings invaluable experience.
Key Players to Watch
| Player | Team | Role | Key Stat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harmanpreet Kaur (C) | MI-W | Batter | 181 runs, SR 160.17 (Orange Cap) |
| Nat Sciver-Brunt | MI-W | All-rounder | 65 off 43 vs UPW (Jan 15) |
| Harleen Deol | UPW | Batter | 64* off 39, POTM vs MI |
| Phoebe Litchfield | UPW | Batter | 150 runs this tournament |
| Amelia Kerr | MI-W | Spinner | 6 wkts, eco 6.41 |
Our Prediction
MI-W have the superior squad on paper with Harmanpreet in career-best form and a deeper bowling attack. UPW will take confidence from their recent win, but one result does not erase MIs 5-3 head-to-head dominance. Rematches often favour the team that lost first as they adjust their plans. The afternoon start (3:00 PM IST) reduces dew concerns that might have helped UPW chase on January 15.
Mumbai Indians Women at 58% confidence is our pick.
Betting Value
MI-W at 1.60 implies 62.5% probability. Our model gives MI-W 58%, creating a -4.5% edge. UPW at 2.21 implies 45.2% against our 42%, also offering no value at -3.2% edge. Both sides are below our 2% minimum threshold.
The market has priced this rematch accurately. Our 58% confidence aligns closely with the implied odds. When bookmakers and our model agree, there is no inefficiency to exploit. MI-W should complete the double-header revenge.
