New Zealand vs India 5th ODI Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Pick: India to win, at 59.8%.
India
New Zealand 40%
Toss Prediction
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 80%.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • Pick: India to win, at 59.8%.
- • Toss call: Field first, at 80%. The New Zealand vs India toss page records our call before the toss and updates with the result.
- • Key fact: Matt Henry took 6 for 27 for New Zealand as India were all out for 89 in the 4th ODI at Bay Oval (13 November 2026).
- • Value: India's fair odds are 1.67, and 1xBet had them at 1.60 at 15:30 IST (13 November).
We back India, at 59.8%.
India lead the five-match series 2-1, so this 5th ODI at Bay Oval decides it.
New Zealand won the 4th ODI on the same ground by 244 runs on 13 November 2026. India were all out for 89 in 26.4 overs that day.
The day-night game starts at 7:30 am IST (02:00 UTC) on 15 November, and we expect the toss winner to bowl first.
Which team is stronger, New Zealand or India?
India, across the series. India beat New Zealand by 5 wickets on the DLS method at Eden Park, Auckland (4 November 2026).
New Zealand were all out for 185 in 40.2 overs in that game. Arshdeep Singh took 4 for 70 in 10 overs for India.
Virat Kohli made 74 off 51 balls for India in the chase that day (4 November 2026).
Gurnoor Brar took 4 for 30 in 10 overs for India when they won the 2nd ODI by 4 runs on the DLS method in Wellington (7 November 2026).
New Zealand answered at Bay Oval. Will Young made 125 off 108 balls for New Zealand in the 4th ODI (13 November 2026), and Tim Seifert made 58 off 48 balls.
Matt Henry then took 6 for 27 in 9.4 overs for New Zealand and was player of the match. Matthew Fisher took 3 for 31 in 7 overs for New Zealand in the same innings.
Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli and Shreyas Iyer each made 0 for India in that 4th ODI innings (13 November 2026).
Key matchups: Matt Henry against Virat Kohli, Gurnoor Brar against Will Young
Matt Henry against Virat Kohli. Matt Henry took 6 for 27 for New Zealand in the 4th ODI (13 November 2026), when Virat Kohli made 0 for India.
Virat Kohli made 74 off 51 balls for India in the 1st ODI (4 November 2026), so this duel can swing the decider.
Gurnoor Brar against Will Young. Gurnoor Brar took 4 for 30 for India in the 2nd ODI (7 November 2026), and he was player of the match.
Will Young made 125 off 108 balls for New Zealand in the 4th ODI (13 November 2026).
Axar Patel against Tim Seifert. Axar Patel took 2 for 39 in 10 overs for India in the 4th ODI (13 November 2026).
Tim Seifert made 58 off 48 balls for New Zealand in that innings, so Axar Patel's control matters in the middle overs.
New Zealand vs India head to head
New Zealand
3
India
2
New Zealand lead 3-2 across their five most recent completed ODIs
India won the first two games of this series and New Zealand the latest (13 November 2026), so the decider starts close.
New Zealand vs India pitch report: Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
Toss winners bowled at Bay Oval in April 2025, October 2025 and November 2026, and we expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 80%.
The 5th ODI of the India tour of New Zealand 2026, at Bay Oval
New Zealand were all out for 333 in 50 overs against India at Bay Oval (13 November 2026) and won by 244 runs.
England were all out for 223 in 35.2 overs at Bay Oval (26 October 2025). New Zealand made 224 for 6 in 36.4 overs and won by 4 wickets.
New Zealand made 264 for 8 in 42 overs after Pakistan chose to bowl in Mount Maunganui, and won by 43 runs (5 April 2025).
Overcast and about 20°C for the 3:00 pm start at Bay Oval, with light showers possible early in the game. Forecast read 13 November, 15:31 IST.
The toss winners on 5 April 2025, 26 October 2025 and 13 November 2026 all chose to bowl.
New Zealand vs India prediction: we back India at 60%
We back India, at 59.8%, with the market at 59.3%.
India's bowling is the reason. New Zealand were all out for 185 and 134 in the two games India won in this series (4 and 7 November 2026).
New Zealand's 333 at Bay Oval (13 November 2026) shows the other side, and Matt Henry's 6 for 27 is the threat India must handle.
Both sides' prices sat under our fair odds at 15:30 IST (13 November), so the toss is the market with an angle.
What decides New Zealand vs India
- The toss. We expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 80%. The toss winners at Bay Oval on 5 April 2025, 26 October 2025 and 13 November 2026 all chose to bowl.
- India's top order. Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli and Shreyas Iyer each made 0 for India in the 4th ODI (13 November 2026).
- The rain. Light showers are forecast early, and rain decided two of this series' games on the DLS method (4 and 7 November 2026).
- The price. Both sides' prices sit under our fair odds, which leaves the toss as the market with an angle.
Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 40.2% | 40.7% | 2.34 | 2.49 |
| India | 59.8% | 59.3% | 1.60 | 1.67 |
1xBet had India at 1.60 at 15:30 IST (13 November), under our fair odds of 1.67. 1xBet had New Zealand at 2.34 at 15:30 IST (13 November), under our fair 2.49.
India are the pick at 59.8%. The toss is the market with an angle, and we expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 80%. Odds captured at 15:30 IST on 13 November 2026.
Where the books sit. Our model is 0.5 points above the market on India, so the market broadly agrees.
India tour of New Zealand 2026 ODI Series
New Zealand vs India odds
15 Nov 2026 · 07:30 IST
Match winner: New Zealand 2.34 at 1xBet; India 1.72 at Dafabet; checked 16:25–16:27 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1NZ | 2IND | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.18 | 2 · India 1.72 | Payout96.1% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.33 | 2 · India 1.60 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.33 | 2 · India 1.60 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.33 | 2 · India 1.60 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.33 | 2 · India 1.60 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.33 | 2 · India 1.60 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.34 | 2 · India 1.60 | Payout95.5% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.33 | 2 · India 1.60 | Payout95.0% |
| Highest | 1 · New Zealand2.34 | 2 · India1.72 | Payout– |
1X2: New Zealand 2.35, Tie 50.00, India 1.61 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet, SpinBetter; checked 16:25 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1NZ | XTie | 2IND | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · New Zealand 2.35 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.61 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.35 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.61 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.35 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.61 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.35 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.61 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.35 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.61 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.35 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.61 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.35 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.61 | Payout93.9% |
Total runs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Match556.5 | 1.91Paripesa | 1.751xBet |
| New Zealand270.5 | 1.85Paripesa | 1.81PlanBet |
| India286.5 | 1.85Megapari | 1.81PlanBet |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win New Zealand vs India in the 5th ODI?
India. Our AI model gives them a 59.8% chance in the 5th ODI at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. India lead the five-match series 2-1, so a win would take it 3-1, while a New Zealand win would level it 2-2.
What is the toss prediction for New Zealand vs India?
Bowl first, at 80%. The toss winners at Bay Oval on 5 April 2025, 26 October 2025 and 13 November 2026 all chose to bowl. India won the toss and chose to bowl in the 4th ODI on 13 November 2026, which New Zealand won by 244 runs.
What are the odds for New Zealand vs India?
1xBet had India at 1.60 and New Zealand at 2.34 at 15:30 IST (13 November). Our fair odds are 1.67 for India and 2.49 for New Zealand, so both prices sit under our numbers for the 5th ODI at Bay Oval.
Is Bay Oval a batting or bowling pitch?
We expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 80%. New Zealand defended 333 against India at Bay Oval on 13 November 2026 and 264 for 8 against Pakistan on 5 April 2025, but chased down England's 223 there on 26 October 2025.
When did New Zealand and India last play an ODI?
On 13 November 2026 at Bay Oval, where New Zealand beat India by 244 runs. New Zealand lead 3-2 across the five most recent completed ODIs between the sides, and India won the two before this one, at Auckland and Wellington in November 2026.
What time does New Zealand vs India start?
At 7:30 am IST (02:00 UTC) on 15 November 2026, which is 3:00 pm in Mount Maunganui. The 5th ODI at Bay Oval is a day-night game, with an overcast forecast at about 20°C and light showers possible early.
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