Chitwan Rhinos vs Karnali Yaks Match 27 Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Pick: Chitwan Rhinos to win, at 58%.
Chitwan Rhinos
Karnali Yaks 42%
Toss Prediction
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 71%.
Toss preview ›CHR vs KAY Playing 11
Each team is confirmed when its XI is announced at the toss.
Chitwan Rhinos
Expected captainSikandar Raza
- Dawid Malan
- Kamil Mishara
- Arjun Saud (wk)
- Ravi Bopara
- Sikandar Raza (c)
- Kushal Malla
- Bibek Yadav
- Kamal Singh Airee
- Rijan Dhakal
- Ranjit Kumar
- Mousom Dhakal
Based on the last XI in this series and today's squad.
Updated 15 Nov, 04:50 IST
Karnali Yaks
Expected captainDavid Miller
- Ariful Islam
- Deepak Dumre (wk)
- Mark Watt
- David Miller (c)
- Pawan Sarraf
- Gulsan Jha
- Sompal Kami
- Nandan Yadav
- Hussain Talat
- Unish Bikram Thakuri
- Bipin Sharma
Based on the last XI in this series and today's squad.
Updated 15 Nov, 04:50 IST
Key Takeaways
- • Pick: Chitwan Rhinos to win, at 58%.
- • Toss call: Bowl first, at 71%. See our public toss call for CHR vs KAY on the dedicated page.
- • Key fact: Karnali Yaks have lost four games running, the latest by 4 wickets to Lumbini Lions on 12 November 2026.
- • Value: Chitwan's fair odds are 1.73, and Melbet had them at 1.71 at 16:33 IST (14 November).
We back Chitwan Rhinos, at 58%.
Karnali Yaks won their first two games of the 2026 season, then lost the next four. Lumbini Lions bowled them out for 105 in the most recent one (12 November 2026).
Chitwan come in from a 4-wicket win over Janakpur Bolts (13 November 2026).
The 27th Match of the Nepal Premier League 2026 starts at 12:15 IST (06:45 UTC) on 15 November 2026, in Kirtipur.
Which team is stronger, Chitwan Rhinos or Karnali Yaks?
Chitwan, on 2026 form. They beat Biratnagar Kings by 8 runs (27 October 2026) and Pokhara Avengers by 30 runs (6 November 2026).
Chitwan's Dawid Malan made 70 off 50 balls against Biratnagar Kings in that 27 October 2026 win.
Chitwan's Rijan Dhakal took 4 for 24 in four overs against Pokhara Avengers (6 November 2026). He added 3 for 14 from four overs for Chitwan against Kathmandu Gorkhas three days later (9 November 2026).
Ravi Bopara made 55 off 35 balls for Chitwan against Kathmandu Gorkhas in that 9 November 2026 chase, which Chitwan lost by 10 runs.
Karnali opened with wins over Janakpur Bolts by 19 runs (27 October 2026) and Biratnagar Kings by 4 wickets (29 October 2026). Karnali's Sompal Kami took 4 for 33 in his four overs against Biratnagar Kings in that 29 October 2026 game.
Karnali's David Miller made 93 not out off 55 balls against Sudur Paschim Royals (6 November 2026). Sudur Paschim still won that game by 39 runs.
Pokhara Avengers made 217 for 3 against Karnali (9 November 2026). Karnali were all out for 154 in 18.3 overs and lost by 63 runs.
Key matchups: Ravi Bopara against Sompal Kami, Kamal Singh Airee against Ariful Islam
Ravi Bopara against Sompal Kami. Ravi Bopara made 59 not out off 40 balls for Chitwan against Karnali (6 December 2024). He made 53 off 34 balls for Chitwan against Karnali in the Eliminator (18 December 2024).
Ravi Bopara then made 52 off 36 balls for Chitwan against Karnali (18 November 2025).
Sompal Kami took 2 for 33 in four overs for Karnali against Chitwan in that 18 November 2025 game. He took 2 for 22 in three overs for Karnali against Chitwan in the 18 December 2024 Eliminator.
Kamal Singh Airee against Ariful Islam. Kamal Singh Airee took 4 for 26 in four overs for the Rhinos against Biratnagar Kings (27 October 2026). He took 3 for 7 in two overs for the Rhinos against Pokhara Avengers (6 November 2026).
Ariful Islam made 44 off 22 balls for the Yaks against Kathmandu Gorkhas (2 November 2026). He made 43 off 29 balls for the Yaks against Janakpur Bolts (27 October 2026).
CHR vs KAY head to head
Karnali wins
2
Chitwan wins
1
Karnali Yaks lead 2-1 across every Nepal Premier League meeting, all at Kirtipur. Newest first.
Chitwan Rhinos won the most recent meeting on 18 November 2025, chasing down Karnali Yaks' 166 for 3.
CHR vs KAY pitch report: Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur
Sudur Paschim Royals beat Karnali Yaks by 39 runs batting first at Kirtipur (6 November 2026), and Pokhara Avengers beat them by 63 runs batting first (9 November 2026).
Chitwan's and Karnali's completed games in this match's 12:15 IST slot, newest first.
Pokhara Avengers 217 for 3 in 20 overs · Karnali all out for 154 in 18.3 overs
Sudur Paschim Royals 176 for 6 in 20 overs · Karnali 137 for 7 in 20 overs
Karnali 180 for 6 in 20 overs · Kathmandu Gorkhas 181 for 6 in 19.4 overs
Chitwan 157 for 3 in 20 overs · Biratnagar Kings all out for 149 in 19.3 overs
Clear and dry at the 12:15 IST start, about 20°C with 55% humidity, about 18°C late in the game, and a 0% to 12% chance of rain in each hour. Forecast read 14 November, 16:28 IST.
Karnali Yaks won the toss and fielded against Sudur Paschim Royals at Kirtipur in that 6 November 2026 game, then lost by 39 runs.
CHR vs KAY prediction: we back Chitwan at 58%
We back Chitwan at 58%, with the market at 55.7%.
Karnali's slide is the first reason. Kathmandu Gorkhas, Sudur Paschim, Pokhara Avengers and Lumbini Lions beat them in turn, from 2 November to 12 November 2026.
Chitwan's bowling is the second. The Rhinos bowled Pokhara Avengers out for 121 in 19 overs (6 November 2026).
Ravi Bopara is the third. He made 59 not out (6 December 2024), 53 (18 December 2024) and 52 (18 November 2025) for Chitwan against Karnali.
Karnali's best answer is Sompal Kami. He made 62 not out off 32 balls for the Yaks against Biratnagar Kings (29 October 2026).
Melbet had Chitwan at 1.71 at 16:33 IST (14 November), just under our fair odds of 1.73. The toss is the angle, and we expect the toss winner to bowl, at 71%.
What decides CHR vs KAY
- The toss. Our call is bowl first, at 71%. Kathmandu Gorkhas won the toss, fielded and beat Karnali by 4 wickets at Kirtipur (2 November 2026).
- Karnali's batting. Karnali were all out for 105 in 19.2 overs against Lumbini Lions (12 November 2026).
- Chitwan's batting. Chitwan made 129 for 6 in 20 overs against Sudur Paschim Royals (2 November 2026) and lost by 5 wickets.
- Mark Watt. Mark Watt took 4 for 12 in four overs for Karnali against Lumbini Lions in that 12 November 2026 game.
Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitwan Rhinos | 58% | 55.7% | 1.71 | 1.73 |
| Karnali Yaks | 42% | 44.3% | 2.11 | 2.38 |
Chitwan's 1.71 sits just under our fair odds of 1.73. Melbet had Chitwan Rhinos at 1.71, and Karnali Yaks at 2.11, at 16:33 IST (14 November).
Karnali's 2.11 sits under our 2.38, so neither price beats our numbers at that read. The toss call, bowl first at 71%, is the angle.
Nepal Premier League
Chitwan Rhinos vs Karnali Yaks odds
15 Nov 2026 · 12:15 IST
Match winner: Chitwan Rhinos 1.77 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet, SpinBetter; Karnali Yaks 2.09 at Dafabet; checked 05:20–05:21 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1CHR | 2KAY | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · Chitwan Rhinos 1.71 | 2 · Karnali Yaks 2.09 | Payout94.1% |
 | 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout94.5% |
| Highest | 1 · Chitwan Rhinos1.77 | 2 · Karnali Yaks2.09 | Payout– |
1X2: Chitwan Rhinos 1.77, Tie 25.00, Karnali Yaks 2.02 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet, SpinBetter; checked 05:20 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1CHR | XTie | 2KAY | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Chitwan Rhinos ▲1.77 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Karnali Yaks ▼2.02 | Payout91.2% |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chitwan Rhinos vs Karnali Yaks in the Nepal Premier League?
Chitwan Rhinos. Our AI model gives them a 58% chance against Karnali Yaks at Kirtipur on 15 November 2026. Karnali have lost four games running, the latest by 4 wickets to Lumbini Lions (12 November 2026), while Chitwan beat Janakpur Bolts by 4 wickets (13 November 2026).
What is the toss prediction for CHR vs KAY?
Bowl first, at 71%. In the completed 12:15 IST games involving Chitwan or Karnali in 2026, Biratnagar Kings (27 October 2026), Kathmandu Gorkhas (2 November 2026) and Karnali Yaks (6 November 2026) fielded after winning the toss, while Pokhara Avengers batted (9 November 2026) and won. We expect the toss winner to field at Kirtipur.
What are the odds for CHR vs KAY?
At 16:33 IST on 14 November, Melbet had Chitwan Rhinos at 1.71 and Karnali Yaks at 2.11. Our fair odds are 1.73 for Chitwan and 2.38 for Karnali, so both prices sat just under our numbers at that read, and the toss is where we see the angle.
Is Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground a batting or bowling pitch?
Setting a total has worked in the 12:15 IST starts there in 2026. Pokhara Avengers made 217 for 3 batting first and beat Karnali Yaks by 63 runs (9 November 2026). Sudur Paschim Royals made 176 for 6 batting first and beat Karnali by 39 runs (6 November 2026). Kathmandu Gorkhas chased down Karnali's 180 for 6 in the 2 November 2026 game.
When did Chitwan Rhinos and Karnali Yaks last play each other?
At Kirtipur on 18 November 2025, in the 2nd Match of the Nepal Premier League 2025. Chitwan Rhinos won by 4 wickets, chasing down Karnali Yaks' 166 for 3. Karnali still lead the head-to-head 2-1, after winning on 6 December 2024 and in the Eliminator on 18 December 2024.
What time does CHR vs KAY start?
Chitwan Rhinos v Karnali Yaks starts at 12:15 IST (06:45 UTC) on 15 November 2026, at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground in Kirtipur. It is the 27th Match of the Nepal Premier League 2026 and the sides' first meeting of the 2026 season.
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