England vs India Toss Prediction (ENG vs IND)

Thursday, 5 March 2026 · 19:00 IST · Wankhede Stadium · T20 WC

Last updated: 9 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 9 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our England vs India match preview on 1 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

Settled

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "Toss: Bowl first. The dew factor in Mumbai is notorious during the second innings, making it difficult for bowlers to grip the ball and allowing the team batting second to chase down targets with relative ease. Our toss prediction analysis favours chasing under lights at this venue."

What happened

England elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

India won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Wankhede Stadium

Toss impact: Moderate chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 54% here

The toss went England's way — they chose to field, so England chase. In this branch our model makes England 36.0% — fair odds 2.78 (IND 1.56) against a pre-toss baseline of 32.0%.

How we made this England vs India toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we read captain decisions.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for ENG vs IND: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full England vs India prediction →

ENG vs IND toss prediction FAQ

Who won the ENG vs IND toss?

England won the ENG vs IND toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in ENG vs IND?

England chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first.

How does the toss affect the ENG vs IND match odds?

Meaningfully. Wankhede Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 54% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →