South Africa vs New Zealand Toss Prediction (SA vs NZ)

Our toss call

Bowl first

From our match preview

We expect the toss winner to field.

✓ Decision called · New Zealand elected to field

By CricketPrediction.com ·

Toss result

New Zealand won the toss and chose to bowl.

South Africa bat first

Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

New Zealand won by 9 wickets (with 43 balls remaining) ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

Wednesday, 4 March 2026 · 19:00 IST · Eden Gardens · T20 WC

From our match preview

Field first. The dew factor makes chasing the clearly preferred option. Whichever captain wins the toss should bowl first — this could carry more weight than usual in a semi-final where margins will be tight

🏟️ What the toss means at Eden Gardens

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 59% here

The toss went New Zealand's way — they chose to field, so New Zealand chase. In this branch our model makes South Africa 46.2% — fair odds 2.16 (NZ 1.86) against a pre-toss baseline of 52.2%.

How we made this South Africa vs New Zealand toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we score venue toss patterns.

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our South Africa vs New Zealand match preview.

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SA vs NZ toss prediction FAQ

Who won the SA vs NZ toss?

New Zealand won the SA vs NZ toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in SA vs NZ?

New Zealand chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the SA vs NZ match odds?

Meaningfully. Eden Gardens favours chasing (teams batting second win 59% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 6 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

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More toss predictions

More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →

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