Surrey vs Sussex Toss Prediction (SUR vs SUS)
Our toss call
From our match preview
We expect the toss winner to field.
✓ Decision called · Surrey elected to field
Toss result
Surrey won the toss and chose to bowl.
Sussex bat first
Stamped 9 Jul, 09:30 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Surrey won by 8 wickets (with 16 balls remaining) ✓ match-winner prediction correct
From our match preview
Toss: On a chasing ground with dew, the toss winner is likely to bowl first and chase.
🏟️ What the toss means at Kennington Oval, London
The toss went Surrey's way — they chose to field, so Surrey chase. In this branch our model makes Surrey 73.0% — fair odds 1.37 (SUS 3.70) against a pre-toss baseline of 69.0%.
How we made this Surrey vs Sussex toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue pattern model.
Toss prediction page launched 7 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Surrey vs Sussex match preview.
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SUR vs SUS toss prediction FAQ
Who won the SUR vs SUS toss?
Surrey won the SUR vs SUS toss and chose to field first.
What did the toss winner choose in SUR vs SUS?
Surrey chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.
How does the toss affect the SUR vs SUS match odds?
Meaningfully. Kennington Oval, London favours chasing (teams batting second win 56% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.
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More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →