Yorkshire vs Nottinghamshire Toss Prediction (YOR vs NOT)

Sunday, 12 July 2026 · 20:00 IST · Headingley, Leeds · Cricket

Last updated: 12 July 2026

Toss prediction page launched 11 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Yorkshire vs Nottinghamshire match preview on 2 June 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

bat first

From the article: "Toss: Bat first. Chases have won only around a third of Blast matches at Headingley, so the toss winner is very likely to take first use."

What happened

Yorkshire elected to bat

Stamped 12 Jul, 20:35 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Yorkshire won by 18 runs ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

🏟️ What the toss means at Headingley, Leeds

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 37% of the time here

The toss went Yorkshire's way — they chose to bat, so Nottinghamshire chase. In this branch our model makes Yorkshire 48.7% — fair odds 2.05 (NOT 1.95) against a pre-toss baseline of 43.7%.

How we made this Yorkshire vs Nottinghamshire toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we score venue toss patterns.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for YOR vs NOT: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Yorkshire vs Nottinghamshire prediction →

YOR vs NOT toss prediction FAQ

Who won the YOR vs NOT toss?

Yorkshire won the YOR vs NOT toss and chose to bat first.

What did the toss winner choose in YOR vs NOT?

Yorkshire chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the YOR vs NOT match odds?

Meaningfully. Headingley, Leeds favours batting first (chases succeed only 37% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 5 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →