Nepal vs Italy Toss Prediction (NEP vs ITA)
Our toss call
From our match preview
We expect the toss winner to field.
✓ Decision called · Italy elected to field
Toss result
Italy won the toss and chose to bowl.
Nepal bat first
Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Italy won by 10 wickets (with 44 balls remaining) ✗ match-winner prediction wrong
From our match preview
With dew likely to make batting easier in the second innings, the toss winner will probably choose to field first.
🏟️ What the toss means at Wankhede Stadium
The toss went Italy's way — they chose to field, so Italy chase. In this branch our model makes Nepal 66.9% — fair odds 1.49 (ITA 3.02) against a pre-toss baseline of 70.9%.
How we made this Nepal vs Italy toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how the toss call is built.
Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Nepal vs Italy match preview.
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NEP vs ITA toss prediction FAQ
Who won the NEP vs ITA toss?
Italy won the NEP vs ITA toss and chose to field first.
What did the toss winner choose in NEP vs ITA?
Italy chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.
How does the toss affect the NEP vs ITA match odds?
Meaningfully. Wankhede Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 54% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.
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More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →