Sri Lanka vs Nepal Toss Prediction

What we looked at

• Captains bat first here. 5 of 6 toss winners have batted at Korogi Sports Park since 2026 (83%).(points to batting first)
• Both sides like to bowl first. Sri Lanka have fielded in 7 of their last 10 tosses won; Nepal have fielded in 6 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to bowling first)
• No dew. Daytime start (09:00 local): conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
• Rain around. A shortened game hands the chasing side a revised target (0.4 mm forecast in the first hour).(points to bowling first)
• Batting first wins here. Only 2 of 6 chasing sides have won (33.3%).(points to batting first)
• Our call: bat first — 57%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, amber to batting first, grey to neither.

What each side tends to do

Sri Lanka have chosen to field in 64 of the 105 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 8 field).

Nepal have chosen to field in 40 of the 56 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 7 field).

Part of our call: it weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time.

Does the toss matter at Korogi Sports Park?

In 6 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 2 (33.3%).

Start: 00:00 UTC · 09:00 local time (day match).

Forecast at the start: 22°C · humidity 94% · overcast · rain

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-27 00:07 UTC. Shown for context; the forecast is not part of the number.