Sri Lanka vs Nepal Toss Prediction (SL vs NEP)
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 57%.
Match abandoned due to bad weather without a ball bowled
Match outcome
Match abandoned due to bad weather without a ball bowled
What we know about this toss
- Captains bat first here. 5 of 6 toss winners have batted at Korogi Sports Park since 2026 (83%).(points to batting first)
- Both sides like to bowl first. Sri Lanka have fielded in 7 of their last 10 tosses won; Nepal have fielded in 6 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to bowling first)
- No dew. Daytime start (09:00 local): conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
- Rain around. A shortened game hands the chasing side a revised target (4.4 mm forecast in the first hour).(points to bowling first)
- Batting first wins here. Only 2 of 6 chasing sides have won (33.3%).(points to batting first)
- Our call: bat first — 57%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.
From our match preview
Toss call: bat first, in line with our toss page for this match
Last 6 tosses at Korogi Sports Park
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Papua New Guinea | Bat | Papua New Guinea | No |
| 2026-05-10 | Fiji | Bat | Japan | Yes |
| 2026-05-09 | Papua New Guinea | Bat | Papua New Guinea | No |
| 2026-05-09 | Japan | Bat | Japan | No |
| 2026-05-08 | Cook Islands | Field | Cook Islands | Yes |
| 2026-05-08 | Vanuatu | Bat | Vanuatu | No |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
Does the toss matter at Korogi Sports Park?
In 6 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 2 (33.3%).
Start: 00:00 UTC · 09:00 local time (day match).
Forecast at the start: 21°C · humidity 95% · overcast · rain
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-29 00:07 UTC.
How we made this Sri Lanka vs Nepal toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss prediction approach.
Toss prediction page launched 27 September 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Sri Lanka vs Nepal match preview.
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SL vs NEP toss prediction FAQ
Who will win the SL vs NEP toss?
No one can — a cricket toss is a genuine 50/50 event, and the market prices it at effectively even money (1.92–1.95 both sides). What can be predicted is the decision that follows, and that is what this page covers.
What will the toss winner choose in SL vs NEP?
We predict the toss winner will choose to bat first at Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin. It is the toss call in our Sri Lanka vs Nepal match prediction.
How does the toss affect the SL vs NEP match odds?
Through what it hands the winner: the choice of batting or chasing under the day's conditions. For this fixture we publish the toss call and grade it on our public ledger.
Where to bet on today's matches
- Best cricket betting apps in India: 10 apps rated, with the Android APK steps and the iPhone route
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More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →