Surrey vs Sussex Toss Prediction (SUR vs SUS)

Wednesday, 8 July 2026 · 23:00 IST · Kennington Oval, London · Cricket

Last updated: 9 July 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Surrey vs Sussex match preview on 2 June 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "Toss: On a chasing ground with dew, the toss winner is likely to bowl first and chase."

What happened

Surrey elected to field

Stamped 9 Jul, 09:30 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Surrey won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Kennington Oval, London

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 56% here

The toss went Surrey's way — they chose to field, so Surrey chase. In this branch our model makes Surrey 73.0% — fair odds 1.37 (SUS 3.70) against a pre-toss baseline of 69.0%.

How we made this Surrey vs Sussex toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue pattern model.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for SUR vs SUS: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Surrey vs Sussex prediction →

SUR vs SUS toss prediction FAQ

Who won the SUR vs SUS toss?

Surrey won the SUR vs SUS toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in SUR vs SUS?

Surrey chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the SUR vs SUS match odds?

Meaningfully. Kennington Oval, London favours chasing (teams batting second win 56% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →