Trinbago Knight Riders Women vs Jamaica Empress Women Toss Prediction

WCPL 2026 · 3rd Match · Thursday, 10 September 2026 · 14:00 UTC (10:00 local) · Kensington Oval, Bridgetown

Toss prediction from this ground's history

What will the toss winner choose?

Bat first · 62% bat-first

Bat first — captains have chosen to bat in 7 of 8 women's T20 tosses at Kensington Oval (87.5%, 2010–2022). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 62%.

Based on: This ground's toss history
Tosses at this ground: 8
Chose to field: 12.5%
Period: 2010–2022

✗ Missed — Trinbago Knight Riders Women won the toss and chose to field.

Why bat first here

Bowl first 38% Bat first 62%

Captains bat first here. 7 of 8 toss winners have batted at Kensington Oval since 2010 (88%).
No dew. Daytime start (10:00 local): conditions hold for both innings.
Rain around. A shortened game hands the chasing side a revised target (0.3 mm forecast in the first hour).
Chasing wins about half the time here (4 of 8).
Our call: bat first — 62%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.

Last 8 tosses at Kensington Oval

Date	Toss winner	Chose	Match winner	Chased?
2022-12-22	West Indies	Bat	England	Yes
2022-12-18	England	Bat	England	No
2022-12-17	England	Bat	England	No
2022-12-14	England	Bat	England	No
2019-09-18	West Indies	Bat	Australia	Yes
2019-09-16	Australia	Field	Australia	Yes
2019-09-14	West Indies	Bat	Australia	Yes
2010-05-16	Australia	Bat	Australia	No

Women's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Shown for context. Our call rests on the ground's history, not on the sides.

Does the toss matter at Kensington Oval?

In 8 decided women's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 4 (50%).

Start: 14:00 UTC · 10:00 local time (day match).

Forecast at the start: 30°C · humidity 72% · partly cloudy · showers · windy

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-10 12:07 UTC. Shown for context; the call above rests on the ground's history.

How this TKRW vs JEW toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the women's T20 average (55%) so that a handful of matches can never produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are always shown beside the figure.

A fair word on what this is and is not: in some seasons the ground-based call beats "always bowl first" by a few points, in others it does not. What it does reliably is put the right probability on the right ground — and every call here is checked in public once the toss decision is published.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: the venue field-first method.

TKRW vs JEW toss prediction FAQ

What is the TKRW vs JEW toss prediction?

Bat first — captains have chosen to bat in 7 of 8 women's T20 tosses at Kensington Oval (87.5%, 2010–2022). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 62%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Kensington Oval?

In 8 decided women's T20 matches at Kensington Oval in our data, the side batting second won 4 (50%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the women's T20 average (55%) so that a small sample cannot produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are shown with every figure. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

Trinbago Knight Riders Women won the toss and chose to field. Our call to bat first was wrong.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →

Last updated: 2026-09-10. Published 2026-09-08, toss result added 2026-09-10.

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