Biratnagar Kings vs Kathmandu Gorkhas Match 15 Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Biratnagar Kings predicted to win with 57% probability
Biratnagar Kings
Kathmandu Gorkhas 43%
Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 70%.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • Biratnagar Kings predicted to win with 57% probability
- • Andre Russell has extended his stay for one more match after being player of the match against Janakpur Bolts (3 November 2026)
- • Kathmandu beat Karnali Yaks by 4 wickets with two balls left (2 November 2026), with David Warner in their XI
- • We expect the toss winner to field first, at 70%
- • Both prices sit below our fair odds, which makes the toss the sharper angle
Biratnagar Kings are our pick at 57%.
Our AI model gives Biratnagar Kings a 57% chance against Kathmandu Gorkhas in the 15th Match of the Nepal Premier League 2026, at Kirtipur (5 November 2026). Biratnagar beat Janakpur Bolts by 2 runs (3 November 2026), and Andre Russell has extended his stay for one more match. Kathmandu beat Karnali Yaks by 4 wickets in their most recent game (2 November 2026).
Can Andre Russell's extra game carry Biratnagar again?
The Kathmandu Post reported on 4 November 2026 that the Janakpur game should have been Andre Russell's last of the season. After Biratnagar's 2-run win he said he would play one more match.
Andre Russell made 52 not out from 29 balls as Biratnagar posted 174 for 3 against the Bolts on 3 November 2026.
Andre Russell then took 4 for 45 in four overs in the Janakpur reply that day, and Janakpur finished on 172 for 7. He was player of the match.
Biratnagar's season began with an 8-run defeat by Chitwan Rhinos (27 October 2026). Chitwan made 157 for 3. Biratnagar were all out for 149 in 19.3 overs, with Imran Sheikh making 39 from 31 balls.
Lokesh Bam made 87 from 52 balls against Karnali Yaks in the 29 October game, and Biratnagar reached 186 for 7. Karnali still got home by 4 wickets with one ball left, making 187 for 6 in 19.5 overs.
Angelo Mathews took 3 for 25 in four overs in that Karnali chase (29 October).
The game against Sudur Paschim Royals (31 October 2026) was cut to 5 overs a side. Shehan Jayasuriya made 39 from 11 balls for Biratnagar in it.
Andre Russell made 29 not out from 10 balls against the Royals in that 31 October game, and Biratnagar reached 105 for 2. Biratnagar won by 35 runs.
Has David Warner's arrival changed Kathmandu Gorkhas?
Kathmandu lost to Janakpur by 8 wickets on 29 October 2026. They chose to bat and were all out for 115 in 19.3 overs, with Bhim Sharki making 33 from 29 balls.
The Kathmandu Post reported on 2 November 2026 that David Warner had arrived in Nepal to play for Kathmandu. David Warner was in their XI against Karnali Yaks that day and made 16 from 10 balls.
Karnali made 180 for 6 in that 2 November game. Karan KC, the Kathmandu captain, took 2 for 35 in four overs in the Karnali innings.
Kathmandu then reached 181 for 6 in 19.4 overs to win by 4 wickets, with two balls left. Karan KC made 44 from 20 balls in that chase against the Yaks.
Jahandad Khan made 22 not out from 10 balls against Karnali on 2 November.
Key matchups: Andre Russell against Karan KC, Sandeep Lamichhane against Bhim Sharki
Andre Russell against Karan KC: Andre Russell took 4 for 45 against Janakpur Bolts (3 November 2026). Karan KC made 44 from 20 balls against Karnali Yaks (2 November 2026). If Andre Russell removes Karan KC early, Kathmandu lose their captain at the crease.
Sandeep Lamichhane against Bhim Sharki: Sandeep Lamichhane took 3 for 19 in four overs for Biratnagar against Kathmandu at Kirtipur (15 December 2024). Bhim Sharki made 33 from 29 balls against Janakpur Bolts on 29 October 2026. Sharki will need to see off Lamichhane's four overs.
David Warner against Angelo Mathews: David Warner made 16 from 10 balls against Karnali on 2 November 2026. Angelo Mathews took 3 for 25 against the Yaks (29 October 2026). Mathews will want Warner early, before he settles.
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
This is the first meeting of the two sides in the 2026 season. Biratnagar Kings won the most recent meeting, at Kirtipur on 22 November 2025, by 5 wickets with 17 balls left.
In that 22 November 2025 game, Biratnagar won the toss and bowled, and Kathmandu made 134 for 6. Sandeep Lamichhane took 1 for 26 in four overs for Biratnagar against Kathmandu (22 November 2025). Biratnagar reached 135 for 5 in 17.1 overs.
Kathmandu won the meeting at Kirtipur on 15 December 2024 by 1 wicket, with 11 balls left. Kathmandu won the toss and bowled, and Biratnagar were all out for 117 in 19.5 overs.
Sandeep Lamichhane took 3 for 19 in four overs for Biratnagar against Kathmandu (15 December 2024). Kathmandu still reached 120 for 9 in 18.1 overs.
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur hosts this 15th Match.
- Pitch: Karnali Yaks made 187 for 6 against Biratnagar at Kirtipur on 29 October 2026. Kathmandu were all out for 115 against Janakpur at the same ground earlier that day.
- Start: 4:15 pm IST (10:45 UTC), a day/night game.
- Toss: Toss call: Field first — we expect the toss winner to field, at 70%. Karnali Yaks fielded after winning the toss against Biratnagar at Kirtipur on 29 October 2026. Kathmandu fielded after winning it against Karnali at Kirtipur on 2 November 2026. We have published our pre-toss call for BIK vs KAG on the toss prediction page.
Match analysis: where this game will be won and lost
Biratnagar's batting has set up their wins. They made 174 for 3 against Janakpur in the 3 November game.
Biratnagar also reached 105 for 2 in five overs against Sudur Paschim Royals on 31 October 2026.
Karnali Yaks overhauled Biratnagar's 186 for 7 at Kirtipur on 29 October.
Kathmandu then overhauled Karnali's 180 for 6 at the same ground on 2 November 2026.
Biratnagar Kings vs Kathmandu Gorkhas prediction: Biratnagar at 57%
Our AI model makes Biratnagar Kings 57% favourites over Kathmandu Gorkhas. The market has Biratnagar at 60.2%, so both of us make them favourites, with the market about 3 points more confident.
Biratnagar's 1.59 sits below our fair odds of 1.75, and Kathmandu's 2.32 is just below their fair 2.34. The match-winner market is efficiently priced, so the sharper angle is the toss. We expect the toss winner to field first, at 70%.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biratnagar Kings | 57.2% | 60.2% | 1.59 | 1.75 |
| Kathmandu Gorkhas | 42.8% | 39.8% | 2.32 | 2.34 |
An efficiently priced match-winner market. Biratnagar's 1.59 is below our fair odds of 1.75, and Kathmandu's 2.32 is just below their fair 2.34. Our model is 3 points below the market on Biratnagar, so their price is shorter than our numbers support. Our call on the toss, field first at 70%, is the sharper angle. Odds captured 4 November 2026.
Nepal Premier League
Biratnagar Kings vs Kathmandu Gorkhas odds
5 Nov 2026 · 16:15 IST
Match winner: Biratnagar Kings 1.60 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 18:05–18:06 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1BIK | 2KAG | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · Biratnagar Kings ▼1.59 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas ▲2.30 | Payout94.0% |
 | 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout94.5% |
| Highest | 1 · Biratnagar Kings1.60 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas2.30 | Payout– |
1X2: Biratnagar Kings 1.60, Tie 25.00, Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 18:05 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1BIK | XTie | 2KAG | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Biratnagar Kings 1.60 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas 2.30 | Payout91.2% |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Biratnagar Kings vs Kathmandu Gorkhas in the Nepal Premier League?
Our AI model makes Biratnagar Kings 57% favourites to beat Kathmandu Gorkhas in the 15th Match of the Nepal Premier League 2026, at Kirtipur (5 November 2026). Biratnagar beat Janakpur Bolts by 2 runs in their most recent game (3 November 2026).
What is the toss prediction for Biratnagar Kings vs Kathmandu Gorkhas?
We expect the toss winner to field first, at 70%, in this 5 November 2026 game at Kirtipur. Karnali Yaks fielded after winning the toss against Biratnagar (29 October 2026), and Kathmandu fielded after winning it against Karnali (2 November 2026).
What are the odds for Biratnagar Kings vs Kathmandu Gorkhas?
Biratnagar are 1.59 and Kathmandu 2.32 for the 5 November 2026 game at Kirtipur, with odds captured 4 November 2026. Our fair odds are 1.75 and 2.34, so both prices sit below fair and the match-winner market is efficiently priced.
Have Biratnagar and Kathmandu met before?
Yes. Biratnagar Kings beat Kathmandu Gorkhas by 5 wickets at Kirtipur (22 November 2025), reaching 135 for 5 in 17.1 overs. Kathmandu won the 15 December 2024 meeting at the same ground by 1 wicket, making 120 for 9 in 18.1 overs.
Has Andre Russell stayed on for Biratnagar?
Yes. The Kathmandu Post reported on 4 November 2026 that the Janakpur Bolts game should have been Andre Russell's last of the season. After Biratnagar's 2-run win, in which he was player of the match, he said he would play one more match.
Who captains Biratnagar and Kathmandu?
Sandeep Lamichhane captained Biratnagar Kings against Janakpur Bolts (3 November 2026). Karan KC captained Kathmandu Gorkhas against Karnali Yaks (2 November 2026), when he made 44 from 20 balls and Kathmandu won by 4 wickets.
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