Cricket match action
🇳🇿 WSS
Central Hinds cricket team logo

CH

VS
Otago Sparks cricket team logo

OS

WINNER
McLean Park, Napier

Womens Super Smash

Central Hinds vs Otago Sparks Match Recap

Last updated: 27 January 2026

Analysis by Vikram Sharma · Quantitative Strategist ·

Result: Otago Sparks won by 2 wickets. CH 123/5 (20) vs OS 126/8 (19.3).

Our Pick: CH @ 1.88 (+8.8% edge)

Outcome: Lost (-1.5 units)

* 1 unit = 1% of bankroll


Pre-match analysis published on 24 January 2026:

Second versus fifth in the Women's Super Smash. Central Hinds host Otago Sparks at McLean Park with contrasting form. The Hinds have won four consecutive completed matches and sit on 25 points. Otago have lost two of their last three, including a 9-wicket drubbing by Canterbury just three days ago. When these teams met in December, Otago won by 7 wickets - but that was at Alexandra, not Napier.

Central Hinds: Unbeaten Run Continues

The Hinds have found their rhythm. Since losing to Otago on December 30, they've won every completed match. Their bowling has been exceptional - Grace Scrivens leads the attack with 9 wickets this season, followed by Hannah Rowe (8), Rosemary Mair (7), and Ashtuti Kumar (7).

  • vs Auckland Hearts (Jan 16/17) - Won by 29 runs. Grace Scrivens 4/13 demolished Auckland's chase.
  • vs Northern Brave (Jan 13) - Won by 3 wickets defending just 83. Mair 4/11, Kumar 4/13.
  • vs Wellington Blaze (Jan 7) - Won by 5 runs. Posted 154/6.
  • vs Canterbury (Jan 3) - Won by 7 runs. Posted 191/5.

Bryony Smith has been explosive at the top - 176 runs at a strike rate around 154. She provides the firepower while captain Hannah Rowe anchors the middle order.

Otago Sparks: Form Slipping at Crucial Time

Otago's season has derailed. They were competitive early but have now lost two of their last three completed matches. The Canterbury defeat on January 21 was particularly damaging - bowled out for 141/7 and then watched Canterbury chase it down 145/1 in 17.5 overs.

  • vs Canterbury (Jan 21) - Lost by 9 wickets. Heavily outplayed.
  • vs Northern Brave (Jan 18) - Lost by 5 wickets despite posting 161/6.
  • vs Auckland Hearts (Jan 11) - Won by 4 wickets chasing 169.
  • vs Auckland Hearts (Jan 6) - Lost by 1 run. Agonising finish at 122/8.

Caitlin Blakely leads the batting with 151 runs. Emma Black has 11-12 wickets this season. But the bowling has been leaking runs - they conceded 162/5 to Northern Brave and 145/1 to Canterbury in consecutive matches.

Key Players to Watch

PlayerTeamRoleKey Stat
Bryony SmithCHOpener176 runs, SR ~154
Grace ScrivensCHAll-rounder9 wickets, best 4/13
Rosemary MairCHBowler7 wickets, best 4/11
Caitlin BlakelyOSOpener151 runs this season
Emma BlackOSBowler11-12 wickets this season

Head-to-Head Record

7 wkts
OS win margin (Dec 30)
Otago won the reverse fixture
CH 116/8 vs OS 117/3 (14.2 overs)
Louisa Kotkamp 3/24 was the key bowler
That was at Alexandra - this is at Napier (CH home)

Venue and Conditions

82-83
Recent WSS Match
CH Home
McLean Park
20°C
Forecast

McLean Park, Napier is Central Hinds' home ground. The most recent WSS match here was a low-scoring thriller - Northern Brave 82 all out, Central Hinds 83/7. The surface can be tricky. Weather forecast shows 20°C with 22% rain chance.

Why Central Hinds Are Favourites

Key Factors
1Superior form - Won 4 straight completed matches vs OS lost 2 of last 3
2Table position - 2nd (25 pts) vs 5th (18 pts) = 7 point gap
3Home advantage - McLean Park is CH territory
4Bowling depth - Scrivens (9), Rowe (8), Mair (7), Kumar (7)
5OS coming off heavy loss - 9-wicket defeat to Canterbury (Jan 21)

Our Prediction

The December result at Alexandra is the main argument for Otago. Louisa Kotkamp took 3/24 and knows how to bowl to Central Hinds. But everything else favours the home side.

Central Hinds have been clinical - defending 83 against Northern Brave, posting 191 against Canterbury, and beating Auckland by 29 runs. Their bowling attack has four bowlers with 7+ wickets this season. Otago's attack just leaked 145/1 to Canterbury.

Prediction: Central Hinds to win
Confidence: 62%

Betting Value

Value Thresholds
Central Hinds (62% probability)
Fair odds: 1.61 | Value threshold: 1.69
Current odds: 1.88 - VALUE BET (+8.8% edge)
Otago Sparks (38% probability)
Fair odds: 2.63 | Value threshold: 2.76
Current odds: 1.95 - No value (market overrates OS's chances)
Recommendation: Back Central Hinds @ 1.88
The market offers +8.8% edge on the in-form home side. Strong value bet. Stake recommendation: 1.5 units.

Staking: 1 unit = 1% of your betting bankroll. We recommend 1.5u for edges above 8%, 1u for 5-8%, and 0.5u for edges between 2-5%.

Win Probability

CH
OS

Venue Analysis

Toss Prediction

Bat
Field

Innings Win Rate

1st
Chase