Cricket match action
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ WPL
Delhi Capitals cricket team logo

DC-W

WINNER
VS
Royal Challengers Bengaluru cricket team logo

RCB-W

BCA Stadium, Vadodara

WPL

Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Match Recap

Last updated: 27 January 2026

Analysis by Vikram Sharma ยท Quantitative Strategist ยท

Result: Delhi Capitals won by 7 wickets (111/3 v 109/10)

Our Pick: Royal Challengers Bengaluru @ 1.75 (+7.9% edge)

Outcome: Lost (-1 unit)


Pre-match analysis published on 24 January 2026:

The rematch arrives with everything on the line for one team. Royal Challengers Bengaluru demolished Delhi Capitals by 8 wickets just seven days ago - Smriti Mandhana scoring 96 as RCB chased 166 with ease. Now Delhi must win all three remaining games to make playoffs. RCB are already through with a perfect 5-0 record. The historical H2H favours DC 5-4, but RCB have won when it matters most - the WPL 2024 final.

Delhi Capitals' 2025/2026: Fighting for Survival

Three-time finalists Delhi Capitals find themselves in unfamiliar territory - bottom of the table with a negative NRR. Their WPL 2026 record shows L-L-W-L-W across five matches:

  • Match 1 vs Mumbai Indians - Lost by 50 runs. Chasing 196, DC collapsed with no answer to MI's bowling.
  • Match 3 vs Gujarat Giants - Lost by 4 runs. Fell agonisingly short chasing 210, showing fight but lacking finishing.
  • Match 7 vs UP Warriorz - Won by 7 wickets. First win of the season, finally clicking as a unit.
  • Match 11 vs RCB (Jan 17) - Lost by 8 wickets. Scored 166 but RCB chased it with 10 balls to spare. Mandhana 96.
  • Match 13 vs Mumbai Indians (Jan 20) - Won by 7 wickets. Jemimah Rodrigues 51*, Lizelle Lee 46 anchored a confident chase of 155.

Jemimah Rodrigues was appointed captain ahead of this season, replacing Meg Lanning who wasn't retained. She's led from the front in both wins.

Key concern: RCB dismantled DC's batting just seven days ago. Rodrigues' side needs to find at least 20-25 more runs in the first innings to have a chance.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's 2025/2026: History in the Making

The defending WPL 2024 champions are rewriting records. RCB's form reads W-W-W-W-W - the first team in WPL history to win six consecutive matches (including last season's final):

  • Match 1 vs Mumbai Indians (Jan 10) - Won by 3 wickets. Nadine de Klerk 63*, 4/26 - match-winning all-round display.
  • Match 5 vs UP Warriorz (Jan 12) - Won by 9 wickets. Grace Harris 85, Mandhana 47* as RCB crushed the chase.
  • Match 9 vs Gujarat Giants (Jan 16) - Won by 32 runs. Shreyanka Patil 5/23 demolished GG. Radha Yadav 66, Richa Ghosh 44 built the innings.
  • Match 11 vs Delhi Capitals (Jan 17) - Won by 8 wickets. Mandhana's 96 was a masterclass. Chased 166 in 18.2 overs.
  • Match 12 vs Gujarat Giants (Jan 19, Vadodara) - Won by 61 runs. Defended 178. Gautami Naik 73 anchored innings, bowlers restricted GG to 117/8.

RCB secured playoff qualification after just five games - the earliest in WPL history. Smriti Mandhana captains a side with match-winners across all departments.

Key strength: RCB successfully defended 178 at Vadodara on Jan 19. This disproves any notion that chasing is the only way to win at this venue.

Key Players to Watch

PlayerTeamRoleKey Stat
Smriti MandhanaRCBCaptain/Opener96 vs DC (Jan 17)
Nadine de KlerkRCBAll-rounder10 wickets - Joint Purple Cap
Shreyanka PatilRCBSpinner8 wickets inc. 5/23 vs GG
Jemimah RodriguesDCCaptain/Batter51* vs MI (Jan 20)
Nandini SharmaDCSpinner8 wickets - Only hat-trick of WPL 2026

Head-to-Head Record

5-4
DC Lead
Historical edge to DC - but RCB won the big one
DC dominated WPL 2023-24 league meetings (4-1).
RCB won the WPL 2024 final by 8 wickets.
Most recent: RCB won by 8 wickets (Jan 17, 2026)

Venue and Conditions

Batting-friendly
Surface Type
165-178
Par Score
Evening
Dew Factor

BCA Stadium, Vadodara opened in December 2024 - a brand new venue with limited match data. WPL 2026 has seen two matches here: RCB defended 178 vs GG (Jan 19), DC chased 155 vs MI (Jan 20). Dew plays a role in evening matches, but RCB proved 175+ totals can be defended with quality bowling.

Why RCB Are Favourites

Key Factors
1Perfect Form - 5-0 record, first team to win 6 consecutive WPL matches ever.
2Recent Dominance - Beat DC by 8 wickets just 7 days ago. Mandhana's 96 was unanswered.
3Bowling Depth - de Klerk (10 wkts), Patil (8 wkts, 5-fer), Bell provide multiple threats.
4Venue Proven - Successfully defended 178 at Vadodara on Jan 19 vs Gujarat Giants.
5Superior NRR - +1.882 vs DC's -0.586. RCB win big; DC scrape through.

Our Prediction

Delhi have quality - Jemimah Rodrigues showed character with 51* against MI, and Shafali Verma can take any attack apart in the powerplay. But the combination of RCB's perfect form, recent 8-wicket demolition of DC, and proven ability to defend at Vadodara makes them heavy favourites.

DC's biggest problem: they scored 166 against this RCB attack just seven days ago, and it wasn't remotely enough. Unless they find 25+ more runs, the same result awaits.

Prediction: Royal Challengers Bengaluru to win
Confidence: 65%

Betting Value

Value Thresholds
RCB (65% probability)
Fair odds: 1.54 | Value threshold: 1.62
Current odds: 1.75 - VALUE BET (+7.9% edge)
DC (35% probability)
Fair odds: 2.86 | Value threshold: 3.00
Current odds: 2.10 - No value (market overrates DC's chances)
Recommendation: Back RCB @ 1.75 The market offers +7.9% edge on the defending champions. Stake recommendation: 1 unit.

Staking: 1 unit = 1% of your betting bankroll. We recommend 1.5u for edges above 8%, 1u for 5-8%, and 0.5u for edges between 2-5%.

Win Probability

DC-W
RCB-W

Venue Analysis

Toss Prediction

Bat
Field

Innings Win Rate

1st
Chase