Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Saint Lucia Kings Toss Prediction
CPL 2026 · 31st Match · Wednesday, 9 September 2026 · 23:00 UTC (19:00 local) · Providence Stadium, Providence
Toss prediction from this ground's history
What will the toss winner choose?
Bowl first · 70% field-first
Bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 60 of 85 men's T20 tosses at Providence Stadium (70.6%, 2010–2025). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 70%.
- Based on
- This ground's toss history
- Tosses at this ground
- 85
- Chose to field
- 70.6%
- Period
- 2010–2025
Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.
Why bowl first here
- Captains bowl first here. 60 of 85 toss winners have fielded at Providence Stadium since 2010 (71%).
- Dew is coming. Evening start (19:00 local) with 85% humidity: the ball gets harder to grip in the second innings, so bowl first and chase.
- Cloud cover. 70% cloud at the start helps the new ball — bowl first.
- Chasing wins about half the time here (44 of 82).
- Our call: bowl first — 70%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.
Last 10 tosses at Providence Stadium
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 | Guyana Amazon Warriors | Bat | Trinbago Knight Riders | Yes |
| 2025-09-19 | St Lucia Kings | Field | Trinbago Knight Riders | No |
| 2025-09-17 | St Lucia Kings | Field | Guyana Amazon Warriors | No |
| 2025-09-16 | Trinbago Knight Riders | Field | Trinbago Knight Riders | Yes |
| 2025-09-14 | Barbados Royals | Field | Guyana Amazon Warriors | No |
| 2025-09-13 | St Lucia Kings | Bat | Guyana Amazon Warriors | Yes |
| 2025-09-10 | Antigua and Barbuda Falcons | Field | Antigua and Barbuda Falcons | Yes |
| 2025-09-07 | Guyana Amazon Warriors | Field | St Kitts and Nevis Patriots | No |
| 2025-09-06 | Guyana Amazon Warriors | Field | Guyana Amazon Warriors | Yes |
| 2024-10-06 | St Lucia Kings | Field | St Lucia Kings | Yes |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
What each side tends to do
Guyana Amazon Warriors have chosen to field in 59 of the 78 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 8 field).
Saint Lucia Kings have chosen to field in 22 of the 30 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 8 field).
Shown for context. Our call rests on the ground's history, not on the sides.
Does the toss matter at Providence Stadium?
In 82 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 44 (53.7%).
Start: 23:00 UTC · 19:00 local time (evening match).
Forecast at the start: 27°C · humidity 85% · partly cloudy — heavy dew is likely in the second innings, which is why captains at many grounds prefer to chase.
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-08 09:07 UTC. Shown for context; the call above rests on the ground's history.
How this GAW vs SLK toss prediction is made
We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the men's T20 average (61%) so that a handful of matches can never produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are always shown beside the figure.
A fair word on what this is and is not: in some seasons the ground-based call beats "always bowl first" by a few points, in others it does not. What it does reliably is put the right probability on the right ground — and every call here is checked in public once the toss decision is published.
Full method, dew and captaincy context: the venue pattern model.
GAW vs SLK toss prediction FAQ
What is the GAW vs SLK toss prediction?
Bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 60 of 85 men's T20 tosses at Providence Stadium (70.6%, 2010–2025). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 70%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.
Does winning the toss matter at Providence Stadium?
In 82 decided men's T20 matches at Providence Stadium in our data, the side batting second won 44 (53.7%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.
How is this toss prediction made?
We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the men's T20 average (61%) so that a small sample cannot produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are shown with every figure. The result is added within minutes of the toss and stays on this page.
What happened at the toss?
The toss has not happened yet. This page updates within minutes of it, and the result is recorded against the call above.
More toss predictions
Last updated: 2026-09-08. Published 2026-09-08.
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