India vs Sri Lanka Toss Prediction (IND vs SL)
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 59%.
✗ Decision missed · Sri Lanka elected to field
Toss result
Sri Lanka won the toss and chose to bowl.
India bat first
Stamped 1 Oct, 09:35 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
India won by 124 runs ✓ match-winner prediction correct
Read the match report: India bowl Sri Lanka out for 45 in Asian Games semi-finalWhat we know about this toss
- Captains bat first here. 5 of 6 toss winners have batted at Korogi Sports Park since 2026 (83%).(points to batting first)
- Both sides like to bowl first. India have fielded in 6 of their last 10 tosses won; Sri Lanka have fielded in 7 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to bowling first)
- No dew. Daytime start (13:30 local): conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
- Forecast: 27°C · humidity 46% · clear skies.(points neither way)
- Batting first wins here. Only 2 of 6 chasing sides have won (33.3%).(points to batting first)
- Our call: bat first — 59%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.
From our match preview
Toss call: Bat first — the call on our toss page for this match.
Last 6 tosses at Korogi Sports Park
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Papua New Guinea | Bat | Papua New Guinea | No |
| 2026-05-10 | Fiji | Bat | Japan | Yes |
| 2026-05-09 | Papua New Guinea | Bat | Papua New Guinea | No |
| 2026-05-09 | Japan | Bat | Japan | No |
| 2026-05-08 | Cook Islands | Field | Cook Islands | Yes |
| 2026-05-08 | Vanuatu | Bat | Vanuatu | No |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
Does the toss matter at Korogi Sports Park?
In 6 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 2 (33.3%).
Start: 04:30 UTC · 13:30 local time (day match).
Forecast at the start: 27°C · humidity 46% · clear skies
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-01 03:07 UTC.
How we made this India vs Sri Lanka toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss prediction approach.
Toss prediction page launched 29 September 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our India vs Sri Lanka match preview.
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IND vs SL toss prediction FAQ
Who won the IND vs SL toss?
Sri Lanka won the IND vs SL toss and chose to field first.
What did the toss winner choose in IND vs SL?
Sri Lanka chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain went the other way.
How does the toss affect the IND vs SL match odds?
Through what it hands the winner: the choice of batting or chasing under the day's conditions. For this fixture we publish the toss call and grade it on our public ledger.
Where to bet on today's matches
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More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →