India vs Sri Lanka Toss Prediction

Asian Games 2026 · 2nd Semi-Final · Thursday, 1 October 2026 · 04:30 UTC (13:30 local) · Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin

Toss prediction from ground record, toss habits and start time

What will the toss winner choose?

Bat first · 59% bat-first

Bat first — captains have chosen to bat in 5 of 6 men's T20 tosses at Korogi Sports Park (2026), and a daytime start means no dew, so fewer captains choose to chase. Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 59%.

Based on
Ground record, toss habits and start time
Tosses at this ground
6
Chose to field
16.7%
Period
2026

Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.

What we looked at

Bowl first 41% Bat first 59%
  • Captains bat first here. 5 of 6 toss winners have batted at Korogi Sports Park since 2026 (83%).(points to batting first)
  • Both sides like to bowl first. India have fielded in 6 of their last 10 tosses won; Sri Lanka have fielded in 7 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to bowling first)
  • No dew. Daytime start (13:30 local): conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
  • Forecast: 27°C · humidity 49% · clear skies.(points neither way)
  • Batting first wins here. Only 2 of 6 chasing sides have won (33.3%).(points to batting first)
  • Our call: bat first — 59%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, amber to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 6 tosses at Korogi Sports Park

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2026-05-10Papua New GuineaBatPapua New GuineaNo
2026-05-10FijiBatJapanYes
2026-05-09Papua New GuineaBatPapua New GuineaNo
2026-05-09JapanBatJapanNo
2026-05-08Cook IslandsFieldCook IslandsYes
2026-05-08VanuatuBatVanuatuNo

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

India have chosen to field in 90 of the 131 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 6 field).

Sri Lanka have chosen to field in 64 of the 105 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 8 field).

Part of our call: it weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time.

Does the toss matter at Korogi Sports Park?

In 6 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 2 (33.3%).

Start: 04:30 UTC · 13:30 local time (day match).

Forecast at the start: 27°C · humidity 49% · clear skies

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-29 06:07 UTC.

How this IND vs SL toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our call weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: the data behind our toss calls.

IND vs SL toss prediction FAQ

What is the IND vs SL toss prediction?

Bat first — captains have chosen to bat in 5 of 6 men's T20 tosses at Korogi Sports Park (2026), and a daytime start means no dew, so fewer captains choose to chase. Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 59%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Korogi Sports Park?

In 6 decided men's T20 matches at Korogi Sports Park in our data, the side batting second won 2 (33.3%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

We weigh three things: how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss (recent seasons count most), and the start time — an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →

Last updated: 2026-09-29. Published 2026-09-29.

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