Somerset vs Worcestershire Toss Prediction (SOM vs WOR)

Sunday, 12 July 2026 · 23:05 IST · Cooper Associates County Ground, Taunton · Cricket
Toss prediction page launched 11 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Somerset vs Worcestershire match preview on 2 June 2026.
What did the toss winner choose?
✗ Decision missed🏟️ What the toss means at Cooper Associates County Ground, Taunton
The toss went Worcestershire's way — they chose to field, so Worcestershire chase. In this branch our model makes Somerset 54.8% — fair odds 1.82 (WOR 2.21) against a pre-toss baseline of 52.8%.
How we made this Somerset vs Worcestershire toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue field-first method.
Full match prediction
Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for SOM vs WOR: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.
Read full Somerset vs Worcestershire prediction →SOM vs WOR toss prediction FAQ
Who won the SOM vs WOR toss?
Worcestershire won the SOM vs WOR toss and chose to field first.
What did the toss winner choose in SOM vs WOR?
Worcestershire chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain went the other way.
How does the toss affect the SOM vs WOR match odds?
Meaningfully. Cooper Associates County Ground, Taunton favours batting first (chases succeed only 46% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 2 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.
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