Gulf Giants vs MI Emirates Prediction - International League T20 2025-26

Result: MI Emirates won by 8 wickets. GG 141/6 (20 ov) vs MIE 142/2 (16.3 ov).

Pre-Match Probability: MI Emirates 58% | Gulf Giants 42%

No Bet: Edge was -4.5% (below 2% threshold). Prediction correct.

Match Summary

Gulf Giants batted first and struggled. 141/6 in 20 overs—well below the venue average of 171. The top order collapsed: James Vince out at 10/1, Rahmanullah Gurbaz at 16/2, Asif Khan at 27/3. By 49/4 in the 9th over, the game was slipping away. Moeen Ali (39) and the lower order scraped to 141—but it was never going to be enough.

MI Emirates' chase was clinical. Waseem Muhammad was Player of the Match—though the chase was a team effort. After losing Tom Banton early, a steady partnership guided MIE home. Chase completed in 16.3 overs with 8 wickets in hand and 21 balls to spare. Dominant.

Analysis Review

Validated: Gulf Giants' "slump" assessment. Flagged their three-match losing streak and momentum issues. They made it four straight losses. Form is real.

Validated: MI Emirates' consistency. Called them "more consistent" with a "stronger overall record." They won comfortably, maintaining their push for a top-2 finish.

Overestimated: Pathum Nissanka's impact. Highlighted his SR 186.92 as the tournament's best. He wasn't among the fall of wickets shown—but GG's top order collapsed regardless. Individual brilliance couldn't save a team in freefall.

Validated: The market pricing. Said "no clear betting value on either side" at MIE 1.60. MIE won easily, but at 1.60 with -4.5% edge, the SKIP was correct. Correct outcome doesn't justify bad value.

Outcome

No bet placed. Edge was -4.5%—well below the 2% minimum threshold. The prediction was correct, but the SKIP decision was still right. At 1.60 odds with the market pricing MIE at 62.5% vs our 58%, there was no value. Process over outcome. Winning predictions don't always mean winning bets.