Adelaide Strikers Women vs Melbourne Stars Women Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bowl first 64%

We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 64%.

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Womens Big Bash League 2026 · 4th Match · Saturday, 31 October 2026 · 04:40 UTC (15:10 local) · 10:10 IST · Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide

What we know about this toss

Bowl first 64% Bat first 36%
  • Captains bowl first here. 22 of 34 toss winners have fielded at Karen Rolton Oval since 2018 (65%).(points to bowling first)
  • The sides differ. Adelaide Strikers Women have fielded in 8 of their last 10 tosses won; Melbourne Stars Women have fielded in 5 of their last 10 tosses won.(points neither way)
  • No dew. Afternoon start (15:10 local). Conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
  • Forecast: 20°C · humidity 63% · partly cloudy.(points neither way)
  • Chasing wins about half the time here (14 of 31).(points neither way)
  • Our call: bowl first — 64%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at Karen Rolton Oval

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2025-12-05Hobart HurricanesFieldNo result—
2025-11-25Adelaide StrikersFieldAdelaide StrikersYes
2025-11-14Adelaide StrikersFieldAdelaide StrikersYes
2025-11-14Perth ScorchersFieldMelbourne StarsNo
2024-11-19Perth ScorchersFieldAdelaide StrikersNo
2024-11-11Melbourne RenegadesFieldMelbourne RenegadesYes
2023-11-15Adelaide StrikersFieldAdelaide StrikersYes
2023-11-08Melbourne RenegadesBatAdelaide StrikersYes
2023-10-29Adelaide StrikersBatAdelaide StrikersNo
2023-10-21Melbourne StarsFieldAdelaide StrikersNo

Women's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Adelaide Strikers Women have chosen to field in 39 of the 64 tosses they won in our women's T20 data (9 of the last 11 field).

Melbourne Stars Women have chosen to field in 44 of the 68 tosses they won in our women's T20 data (5 of the last 11 field).

Does the toss matter at Karen Rolton Oval?

In 31 decided women's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 14 (45.2%).

Start: 04:40 UTC · 15:10 local time (afternoon match).

Forecast at the start: 20°C · humidity 63% · partly cloudy

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-29 09:08 UTC.

How this AS-W vs MS-W toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

For the full method, including dew and team news, read how the toss call is built.

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AS-W vs MS-W toss prediction FAQ

What is the AS-W vs MS-W toss prediction?

Bowl first — we put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 64%. We predict the decision, not the coin. Whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Karen Rolton Oval?

In 31 decided women's T20 matches at Karen Rolton Oval in our data, the side batting second won 14 (45.2%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →

Last updated: 2026-10-29. Published 2026-10-29.

Information on this page is for educational purposes.

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