Australia vs United Arab Emirates Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bat first 60%

We put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 60%.

✓ Decision called · Australia elected to bat

Toss result

Australia won the toss and chose to bat.

Australia bat first

Hong Kong Sixes 2026 · Cup, Semi Final 1 · Saturday, 31 October 2026 · 07:10 UTC (15:10 local) · 12:40 IST · Mission Road Ground, Mong Kok

What we know about this toss

Bowl first 40% Bat first 60%
  • Captains bowl first here. 32 of 42 toss winners have fielded at Mission Road Ground since 2016 (76%).(points to bowling first)
  • Both sides like to bowl first. Australia have fielded in 7 of their last 10 tosses won; United Arab Emirates have fielded in 6 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to bowling first)
  • No dew. Afternoon start (15:10 local). Conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
  • Chasing wins about half the time here (14 of 31).(points neither way)
  • Our call: bat first — 60%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits, the start time and this tournament's tosses so far. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at Mission Road Ground

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2026-10-31OmanField——
2026-10-31United Arab EmiratesField——
2026-10-31Sri LankaField——
2026-10-31OmanBat——
2026-10-30AustraliaBat——
2026-10-30South AfricaBat——
2026-10-30PakistanField——
2026-10-30Sri LankaField——
2026-10-30EnglandField——
2026-10-30South AfricaField——

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from our own toss records.

What each side tends to do

Australia have chosen to field in 85 of the 127 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (8 of the last 11 field).

United Arab Emirates have chosen to field in 35 of the 66 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (7 of the last 11 field).

It weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits, the start time and this tournament's tosses so far as part of our call.

Does the toss matter at Mission Road Ground?

In 31 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 14 (45.2%).

Start: 07:10 UTC · 15:10 local time (afternoon match).

How this AUS vs UAE toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our model weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits, the start time and this tournament's tosses so far. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

For the full method, including dew and team news, read our toss decision framework.

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AUS vs UAE toss prediction FAQ

What is the AUS vs UAE toss prediction?

Bat first — an afternoon start means no dew, so fewer captains choose to chase. We put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 60%. We predict the decision, not the coin. Whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Mission Road Ground?

In 31 decided men's T20 matches at Mission Road Ground in our data, the side batting second won 14 (45.2%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

Our model weighs how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss, the start time (an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first) and what toss winners have chosen earlier in this tournament. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

Australia won the toss and chose to bat. Our call to bat first was right.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →

Last updated: 2026-10-31. Published 2026-10-31, toss result added 2026-10-31.

Information on this page is for educational purposes.

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