Dolphins vs Northern Cape Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bowl first 68%

We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 68%.

✗ Decision missed · Dolphins elected to bat

Toss result

Dolphins won the toss and chose to bat.

Dolphins bat first

CSA T20 Challenge 2026 · Pool A · Wednesday, 30 September 2026 · 16:00 UTC (18:00 local) · 21:30 IST · Kingsmead, Durban

What we know about this toss

Bowl first 68% Bat first 32%
  • Split at this ground. 17 of 34 toss winners have fielded at Kingsmead in 2007–2024.(points neither way)
  • No dew expected. Evening start (18:00 local) in dry air (62% humidity): conditions hold for both innings.(points neither way)
  • Cloud cover. 73% cloud at the start helps the new ball.(points to bowling first)
  • Chasing wins about half the time here (15 of 33).(points neither way)
  • Our call: bowl first — 68%. Weighs this ground's toss record and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at Kingsmead

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2024-12-10South AfricaBatSouth AfricaNo
2024-11-08South AfricaFieldIndiaNo
2023-09-03South AfricaBatAustraliaYes
2023-09-01AustraliaFieldAustraliaYes
2023-08-30South AfricaFieldAustraliaNo
2020-02-14South AfricaFieldEnglandNo
2016-03-04AustraliaBatSouth AfricaYes
2015-08-14South AfricaFieldSouth AfricaYes
2015-01-14West IndiesFieldSouth AfricaNo
2014-03-12AustraliaFieldAustraliaYes

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Does the toss matter at Kingsmead?

In 33 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 15 (45.5%).

Start: 16:00 UTC · 18:00 local time (evening match).

Forecast at the start: 19°C · humidity 62% · partly cloudy

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-30 15:07 UTC.

How this DOL vs NCH toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our model weighs this ground's toss record and the start time. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: the data behind our toss calls.

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DOL vs NCH toss prediction FAQ

What is the DOL vs NCH toss prediction?

Bowl first — an evening start brings dew into the second innings. We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 68%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Kingsmead?

In 33 decided men's T20 matches at Kingsmead in our data, the side batting second won 15 (45.5%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

Our model weighs how often captains at this ground have chosen to field and the start time (an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first). We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

Dolphins won the toss and chose to bat. Our call to field first was wrong.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →

Last updated: 2026-09-30. Published 2026-09-28, toss result added 2026-09-30.

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