Eastern Storm vs Mpumalanga Rhinos Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 51%.
✓ Decision called · Mpumalanga Rhinos elected to field
Toss result
Mpumalanga Rhinos won the toss and chose to bowl.
Eastern Storm bat first
What we know about this toss
- Captains bowl first here. 8 of 12 toss winners have fielded at Willowmoore Park in 2022 (67%).(points to bowling first)
- Dew is coming. Evening start (18:00 local) with 84% humidity: the ball gets harder to grip in the second innings.(points to bowling first)
- Rain around. A shortened game hands the chasing side a revised target (0.4 mm forecast in the first hour).(points to bowling first)
- Chasing wins here. 7 of 12 decided men's T20 matches went to the side batting second (58.3%).(points to bowling first)
- Our call: bowl first — 51%. Weighs this ground's toss record and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.
Last 10 tosses at Willowmoore Park
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-22 | Uganda | Field | Uganda | Yes |
| 2022-09-21 | Tanzania | Field | Tanzania | Yes |
| 2022-09-21 | Uganda | Field | Uganda | Yes |
| 2022-09-20 | Malawi | Field | Tanzania | No |
| 2022-09-20 | Ghana | Bat | Uganda | Yes |
| 2022-09-19 | Kenya | Field | Kenya | Yes |
| 2022-09-19 | Mozambique | Field | Botswana | No |
| 2022-09-18 | Ghana | Field | Botswana | No |
| 2022-09-18 | Uganda | Bat | Uganda | No |
| 2022-09-17 | Kenya | Bat | Tanzania | Yes |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
What each side tends to do
Does the toss matter at Willowmoore Park?
In 12 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 7 (58.3%).
Start: 16:00 UTC · 18:00 local time (evening match).
Forecast at the start: 12°C · humidity 84% · overcast · rain
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-30 15:07 UTC.
How this ESTORM vs MPR toss prediction is made
We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our model weighs this ground's toss record and the start time. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.
Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.
Full method, dew and captaincy context: our toss tracking approach.
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ESTORM vs MPR toss prediction FAQ
What is the ESTORM vs MPR toss prediction?
Close call, leaning bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 8 of 12 men's T20 tosses at Willowmoore Park (2022). We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 51%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.
Does winning the toss matter at Willowmoore Park?
In 12 decided men's T20 matches at Willowmoore Park in our data, the side batting second won 7 (58.3%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.
How is this toss prediction made?
Our model weighs how often captains at this ground have chosen to field and the start time (an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first). We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.
What happened at the toss?
Mpumalanga Rhinos won the toss and chose to field. Our call to field first was right.
Where to bet on today's matches
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More toss predictions
More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →
Last updated: 2026-09-30. Published 2026-09-28, toss result added 2026-09-30.