Kent vs Surrey Toss Prediction (KEN vs SUR)
Our toss call
From our match preview
We expect the toss winner to bat.
✗ Decision missed · Surrey elected to field
Toss result
Surrey won the toss and chose to bowl.
Kent bat first
Stamped 11 Jul, 09:30 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Surrey won by 9 wickets (with 67 balls remaining) ✓ match-winner prediction correct
From our match preview
Expect the toss winner to bat, and the swing is a little larger here than at a neutral ground.
🏟️ What the toss means at The Spitfire Ground, St Lawrence, Canterbury
The toss went Surrey's way — they chose to field, so Surrey chase. In this branch our model makes Kent 40.3% — fair odds 2.48 (SUR 1.68) against a pre-toss baseline of 37.3%.
How we made this Kent vs Surrey toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss prediction approach.
Toss prediction page launched 9 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Kent vs Surrey match preview.
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KEN vs SUR toss prediction FAQ
Who won the KEN vs SUR toss?
Surrey won the KEN vs SUR toss and chose to field first.
What did the toss winner choose in KEN vs SUR?
Surrey chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain went the other way.
How does the toss affect the KEN vs SUR match odds?
Meaningfully. The Spitfire Ground, St Lawrence, Canterbury favours batting first (chases succeed only 42% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 3 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.
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