Somerset vs Northamptonshire Toss Prediction (SOM vs NOR)
Our toss call
From our match preview
We expect the toss winner to bat.
✗ Decision missed · Somerset elected to field
Toss result
Somerset won the toss and chose to bowl.
Northamptonshire bat first
Stamped 11 Jul, 09:30 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Somerset won by 7 wickets (with 30 balls remaining) ✗ match-winner prediction wrong
From our match preview
We expect the toss winner to bat, but the swing is only about two points either way.
🏟️ What the toss means at Cooper Associates County Ground
The toss went Somerset's way — they chose to field, so Somerset chase. In this branch our model makes Somerset 44.9% — fair odds 2.23 (NOR 1.81) against a pre-toss baseline of 46.9%.
How we made this Somerset vs Northamptonshire toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss decision framework.
Toss prediction page launched 10 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Somerset vs Northamptonshire match preview.
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SOM vs NOR toss prediction FAQ
Who won the SOM vs NOR toss?
Somerset won the SOM vs NOR toss and chose to field first.
What did the toss winner choose in SOM vs NOR?
Somerset chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain went the other way.
How does the toss affect the SOM vs NOR match odds?
Meaningfully. Cooper Associates County Ground favours batting first (chases succeed only 46% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 2 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.
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