Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe 1st T20I Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Afghanistan predicted to win with 69.1% probability
Afghanistan
Zimbabwe 31%Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 63%.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • Afghanistan predicted to win with 69.1% probability
- • Afghanistan won the three T20Is between these sides in Harare, between 29 October and 2 November 2025
- • Afghanistan beat Zimbabwe in two ODIs in October 2026, by 158 runs in Abu Dhabi and by 7 wickets in the Sharjah final
- • We expect the toss winner to bowl first at this night start (63%)
- • Zimbabwe are the value side at 3.50
Afghanistan to beat Zimbabwe in Sharjah.
Our AI model gives Afghanistan a 69.1% chance of winning the 1st T20I at Sharjah Cricket Stadium on 27 October 2026, at 8:00 pm IST (14:30 UTC). Afghanistan won the three T20Is between these sides in Harare in late 2025, and they beat Zimbabwe twice in ODIs in October 2026. Zimbabwe's best angle for a bettor is the price on the underdog.
Afghanistan arrive with an ODI title and a top order that likes this opponent
Afghanistan won the UAE ODI tri-series final against Zimbabwe on 23 October 2026, by 7 wickets with 93 balls remaining at Sharjah Cricket Stadium. Zimbabwe were bowled out for 169 in that final. Afghanistan then reached 170 for 3 in 34.3 overs.
The first meeting of that tri-series was even more one-sided. Afghanistan beat Zimbabwe by 158 runs in Abu Dhabi on 19 October 2026. Afghanistan made 294 that day. Zimbabwe were then bowled out for 136 in 38.4 overs. Two days later, on 21 October 2026, Afghanistan beat Bangladesh by 7 wickets in Sharjah.
Their recent T20I results are less flattering. India beat Afghanistan by 127 runs in Delhi on 17 September 2026. Against Zimbabwe the shorter format has gone Afghanistan's way, though. Ibrahim Zadran and Rahmanullah Gurbaz, who made the big scores in those Harare wins, are both in this squad, with Rashid Khan, Mujeeb Ur Rahman, Azmatullah Omarzai and Fazalhaq Farooqi beside them.
Zimbabwe came within 9 runs in Harare and need that batting again
Zimbabwe's closest recent result against Afghanistan was the 3rd T20I at Harare Sports Club in November 2025. Afghanistan made 210 for 3 that day. Zimbabwe replied with 201 in their 20 overs and lost by 9 runs.
That innings showed where their runs come from. Sikandar Raza scored 51 off 29 balls against Afghanistan in that 2 November 2025 match. Brian Bennett made 47 off 31 balls against Afghanistan in the same game. Raza, Bennett and Ryan Burl are all in the squad for this series, along with Blessing Muzarabani, Brad Evans and Wessly Madhevere.
Zimbabwe's ODI tri-series started well. They beat Bangladesh by 99 runs in Abu Dhabi on 17 October 2026. In T20Is, Zimbabwe beat Namibia by 5 wickets in Windhoek on 3 September 2026. South Africa beat Zimbabwe by 48 runs in Windhoek on 6 September 2026.
Key Matchups: Afghanistan's top order against Zimbabwe's new ball and Raza
Ibrahim Zadran vs Zimbabwe's seamers: Ibrahim Zadran scored 60 off 49 balls against Zimbabwe on 2 November 2025. Ibrahim Zadran also made 57 not out off 51 balls against Zimbabwe on 31 October 2025, seeing that chase home. Zimbabwe have to remove him early, or the game drifts away from them.
Rahmanullah Gurbaz vs Sikandar Raza: Rahmanullah Gurbaz scored 92 off 48 balls against Zimbabwe in the 2 November 2025 game. Sikandar Raza is the bowler Zimbabwe turn to when a partnership builds. Sikandar Raza took 3 for 20 in four overs against Afghanistan on 29 October 2025, the opening game of that series.
Rashid Khan vs Zimbabwe's middle order: Rashid Khan took 3 for 9 in three overs against Zimbabwe on 31 October 2025. Zimbabwe were bowled out for 125 in 19.3 overs in that innings. Ryan Burl and Raza are the batters who can take him on. Ryan Burl hit 37 off 15 balls against Afghanistan in the third game of that series, and that is the template.
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
The three most recent men's T20Is between Afghanistan and Zimbabwe were all played at Harare Sports Club, and Afghanistan won each one. They won by 53 runs on 29 October 2025, by 7 wickets with 12 balls remaining on 31 October, and by 9 runs on 2 November 2025.
In the first of those games Afghanistan made 180 for 6. Zimbabwe were then bowled out for 127 in 16.1 overs.
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Sharjah Cricket Stadium, Sharjah hosts all three T20Is of this series, on 27 October, 29 October and 1 November 2026. Afghanistan beat Bangladesh and Zimbabwe in ODIs at Sharjah Cricket Stadium in October 2026.
- Start: 8:00 pm IST (14:30 UTC), a night match under floodlights.
- Toss: Toss call: Field first — we expect the toss winner to bowl at this night start, at 63%. Our toss page logs the pre-toss pick for Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe, timestamped and publicly tracked.
Match Analysis: Afghanistan's spin against Zimbabwe's middle overs
Afghanistan's edge is their spin, led by Rashid Khan and Mujeeb Ur Rahman. Zimbabwe's 201 against Afghanistan on 2 November 2025 came when Raza, Bennett and Burl all scored quickly, and that is the kind of innings they need again.
Zimbabwe's route is the first six overs. If Muzarabani and Evans remove Gurbaz and Ibrahim Zadran early, Afghanistan's middle order faces Raza's off-spin with less on the board. If the openers settle, Afghanistan's batting has shown it can post 180 or more against this attack.
The toss matters less than the matchups, and our toss call is to bowl first at this night start.
Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe Prediction: Afghanistan, with the value on Zimbabwe
Our AI model makes Afghanistan 69.1% favourites for the 1st T20I, with fair odds of 1.45. Afghanistan's 1.37 is below that, so the pick and the value point in different directions. Zimbabwe at 3.50 sits above our fair odds of 3.24, which makes the underdog a small-stakes value play while Afghanistan remain the side we expect to win.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | 69.1% | 71.3% | 1.37 | 1.45 |
| Zimbabwe | 30.9% | 28.7% | 3.20 | 3.24 |
Value sits with Zimbabwe. A price of 3.50 is available on Zimbabwe, above our fair odds of 3.24, an edge of about 8%. The 3.20 in this table is just below that fair price, and Afghanistan's 1.37 is below our fair 1.45, so Afghanistan are our pick but not the value side. Our model sits about 2 points below the market on Afghanistan. Odds captured on 24 October 2026.
Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe in UAE 2026
Afghanistan vs Zimbabweodds
27 Oct 2026 · 20:00 IST
Match winner: Afghanistan 1.37 at Dafabet; Zimbabwe 3.50 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 00:40–00:42 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1AFG | 2ZIM | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.37 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.20 | Payout95.9% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.50 | Payout94.8% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.50 | Payout94.8% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.50 | Payout94.8% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.50 | Payout94.8% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.50 | Payout94.8% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.50 | Payout94.8% |
| Highest | 1 · Afghanistan1.37 | 2 · Zimbabwe3.50 | Payout– |
1X2: Afghanistan 1.30, Tie 25.00, Zimbabwe 3.51 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 00:40 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1AFG | XTie | 2ZIM | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.51 | Payout91.5% |
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.51 | Payout91.5% |
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.51 | Payout91.5% |
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.51 | Payout91.5% |
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.51 | Payout91.5% |
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.30 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.51 | Payout91.5% |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe in the 1st T20I?
Our AI model predicts Afghanistan to beat Zimbabwe, with a 69.1% win probability, in the 1st T20I at Sharjah Cricket Stadium on 27 October 2026. Afghanistan won the three most recent T20Is between the sides, all in Harare in late 2025.
What is the toss prediction for Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe?
We expect the toss winner to bowl first in Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe, at 63%. The 1st T20I in Sharjah on 27 October 2026 is a night match under floodlights.
What are the odds for Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe?
At the time of writing, 24 October 2026, Afghanistan were priced at 1.37 and Zimbabwe at 3.20, against our fair odds of 1.45 and 3.24. A higher price of 3.50 is available on Zimbabwe, above our fair price.
What happened when Afghanistan and Zimbabwe last met in a T20I?
Afghanistan beat Zimbabwe by 9 runs in the 3rd T20I at Harare Sports Club on 2 November 2025. Afghanistan made 210 for 3. Zimbabwe were bowled out for 201 in their 20 overs.
How did Afghanistan and Zimbabwe do in the UAE ODI tri-series in October 2026?
Afghanistan beat Zimbabwe by 158 runs in Abu Dhabi on 19 October 2026, and by 7 wickets in the final in Sharjah on 23 October 2026. Zimbabwe beat Bangladesh by 99 runs at Sheikh Zayed Cricket Stadium on 17 October 2026.
When are the Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe T20Is?
The 1st T20I between Afghanistan and Zimbabwe starts at 8:00 pm IST (14:30 UTC) on 27 October 2026 at Sharjah Cricket Stadium. The 2nd and 3rd T20Is are at the same ground on 29 October and 1 November 2026.
Also Playing That Day
Explore More
Our bookmaker reviews cover UPI, bonuses and payouts
🎯 our prediction track recordEvery prediction logged, every result settled publicly
🏏 today's free cricket tipsAll today's free cricket prediction tips
🪙 the venue toss dataPre-toss call vs actual outcome, auto-stamped
📱 Compare cricket betting appsAndroid and iPhone options