Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe 3rd T20I Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Afghanistan predicted to win with 76% probability
Afghanistan
Zimbabwe 24%Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We expect the toss winner to field.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • Afghanistan predicted to win with 76% probability
- • Afghanistan lead the three-match series 2-0 after wins by 37 runs (27 October) and 19 runs (29 October 2026)
- • Sikandar Raza's 106 not out off 56 balls took Zimbabwe to 202 for 5 in the 2nd T20I
- • Field first is our toss call, at 66%, after Zimbabwe chose to bowl on 27 and 29 October
- • Zimbabwe at 4.30 sit above our fair odds of 4.12, an edge on the underdog
Afghanistan are our pick at 76%.
Our AI model predicts Afghanistan to beat Zimbabwe in Sharjah on Sunday 1 November 2026, with a 75.7% win probability. Afghanistan have already won the three-match T20I series with a 2-0 lead, and the market rates them a little higher than we do. The price we like is on Zimbabwe, who fell 19 runs short chasing in the 2nd T20I.
How Afghanistan recovered from 5 for 4 to win the series
Afghanistan beat Zimbabwe by 19 runs in the 2nd T20I at Sharjah Cricket Stadium on 29 October 2026. Zimbabwe won the toss and chose to bowl. Afghanistan made 221 for 7 in their 20 overs.
That total came after a collapse. Afghanistan were 5 for 4 after 3.2 overs against Zimbabwe on 29 October. Azmatullah Omarzai then made 116 off 50 balls, with 12 sixes, in the same innings.
Against Zimbabwe that day, Ijaz Ahmad Ahmadzai made 52 off 27 balls. He and Azmatullah Omarzai added 142 for the sixth wicket.
The opener went the same way. Afghanistan beat Zimbabwe by 37 runs at the same ground on 27 October 2026, after Zimbabwe again chose to bowl. Afghanistan were all out for 177 in 19.5 overs. Against Zimbabwe in that game, Ijaz Ahmad Ahmadzai made 52 off 22 balls, and Rashid Khan made 30 off 10 balls in the same innings.
Sikandar Raza's century kept Zimbabwe within 19 runs
Zimbabwe lost the 2nd T20I, but their batting improved sharply. Chasing Afghanistan's 221 for 7 on 29 October 2026, Zimbabwe made 202 for 5 in their 20 overs. Against Afghanistan in that chase, Sikandar Raza made 106 not out off 56 balls.
Tafadzwa Tsiga added 31 not out off 23 balls in the same chase against Afghanistan (29 October). Zimbabwe kept wickets in hand to the end, which they had not done in the opener.
On 27 October 2026, Zimbabwe were all out for 140 in 19.1 overs. Against Afghanistan in that game, Ryan Burl made 32 off 24 balls, and Innocent Kaia made 24 off 26 balls in the same innings.
Zimbabwe have come close in a big chase against Afghanistan before. At Harare Sports Club on 2 November 2025, Afghanistan made 210 for 3. Zimbabwe were all out for 201 in 20 overs and lost by 9 runs. Sikandar Raza made 51 off 29 balls against Afghanistan in that reply.
Key Matchups: Rashid Khan against Sikandar Raza
Rashid Khan vs Sikandar Raza: Rashid Khan took 1 for 29 in 4 overs against Zimbabwe on 29 October 2026. Sikandar Raza made his 106 not out off 56 balls in that innings. Rashid Khan took 2 for 20 in 4 overs against Zimbabwe in the opener (27 October 2026).
Azmatullah Omarzai vs Zimbabwe's attack: Azmatullah Omarzai made 116 off 50 balls against Zimbabwe on 29 October 2026. He came in with Afghanistan at 5 for 4. Zimbabwe's bowlers need an answer for him if the top order fails again.
Rahmanullah Gurbaz vs Brian Bennett: Rahmanullah Gurbaz made 92 off 48 balls against Zimbabwe at Harare Sports Club on 2 November 2025. Brian Bennett made 47 off 31 balls against Afghanistan in the same game. Both openers can set the tone in the first six overs.
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
Afghanistan beat Zimbabwe by 37 runs at Sharjah Cricket Stadium on 27 October 2026 and by 19 runs at the same ground on 29 October 2026, in the 1st and 2nd T20Is of this series.
Afghanistan also won a three-match T20I series in Zimbabwe in 2025. They beat Zimbabwe by 53 runs on 29 October, by 7 wickets on 31 October and by 9 runs on 2 November 2025, all at Harare Sports Club. Ibrahim Zadran made 60 off 49 balls against Zimbabwe in the third of those games (2 November 2025).
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Sharjah Cricket Stadium, Sharjah staged both earlier T20Is of this series. Zimbabwe chose to bowl each time, and Afghanistan won batting first, by 37 runs on 27 October 2026 and by 19 runs on 29 October 2026.
- Pitch: Afghanistan made 221 for 7 batting first in the 2nd T20I (29 October 2026), after 177 in the opener (27 October 2026).
- Start: 8:00 pm IST (14:30 UTC).
- Toss: Toss call: Field first — we put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 66%. Zimbabwe won the toss and chose to bowl in Sharjah on 27 October and 29 October 2026. See our AFG vs ZIM toss call, locked in before the coin lands.
Match Analysis: where Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe is won and lost
The new ball is where Zimbabwe can turn this. Afghanistan lost four wickets for five runs in the 2nd T20I and still made 221 for 7, because Azmatullah Omarzai and Ijaz Ahmad Ahmadzai put on 142 together (29 October 2026).
Afghanistan cannot count on rescuing a collapse like that twice. Zimbabwe's own batting is the other half of the story. Zimbabwe were all out for 140 in 19.1 overs in the opener (27 October), then batted out their 20 overs in the 2nd T20I.
If Zimbabwe bat through their 20 overs again, this is a closer game than the price suggests. If they lose early wickets to Rashid Khan, Afghanistan should complete a clean sweep.
Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe Prediction: Afghanistan are 76% favourites
Our AI model gives Afghanistan a 75.7% chance of beating Zimbabwe in Sharjah. Afghanistan won the 1st T20I by 37 runs and the 2nd by 19 runs, and they also won the three T20Is of their 2025 series in Harare.
The value sits with Zimbabwe, whose price is above our fair odds. On the toss, we expect the toss winner to bowl first.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | 75.7% | 79.3% | 1.24 | 1.32 |
| Zimbabwe | 24.3% | 20.7% | 4.30 | 4.12 |
Value on Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe at 4.30 sit above our fair odds of 4.12, an edge of about 4.5% on the underdog. Afghanistan at 1.24 sit below our fair 1.32. Odds captured on 30 October 2026.
Our model is 3.6 points below the market on Afghanistan. Here's why. Zimbabwe made 202 for 5 chasing Afghanistan's 221 for 7 on 29 October 2026 and lost by only 19 runs. In the same game Afghanistan were 5 for 4 after 3.2 overs. Zimbabwe also made 201 at Harare on 2 November 2025 and lost by 9 runs. We still make Afghanistan clear favourites, just not by as much as the price says.
Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe in UAE 2026
Afghanistan vs Zimbabweodds
1 Nov 2026 · 20:00 IST
Match winner: Afghanistan 1.27 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; Zimbabwe 4.30 at Dafabet; checked 08:20–08:21 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1AFG | 2ZIM | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.24 | 2 · Zimbabwe 4.30 | Payout96.2% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.65 | Payout94.2% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.65 | Payout94.2% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.65 | Payout94.2% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.65 | Payout94.2% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.65 | Payout94.2% |
 | 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.65 | Payout94.2% |
| Highest | 1 · Afghanistan1.27 | 2 · Zimbabwe4.30 | Payout– |
1X2: Afghanistan 1.27, Tie 25.00, Zimbabwe 3.66 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 08:20 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1AFG | XTie | 2ZIM | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.66 | Payout91.0% |
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.66 | Payout91.0% |
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.66 | Payout91.0% |
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.66 | Payout91.0% |
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.66 | Payout91.0% |
| 1 · Afghanistan 1.27 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Zimbabwe 3.66 | Payout91.0% |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe in the 3rd T20I?
Our AI model predicts Afghanistan to beat Zimbabwe at Sharjah Cricket Stadium on 1 November 2026, with a 75.7% win probability. Afghanistan lead the series 2-0 after wins by 37 runs and 19 runs.
What is the toss prediction for Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe?
Our toss call for Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe in Sharjah on 1 November 2026 is field first, at 66%. Zimbabwe won the toss and chose to bowl in the 1st T20I (27 October) and the 2nd T20I (29 October 2026).
What are the odds for Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe?
Afghanistan are 1.24 and Zimbabwe are 4.30 for the 3rd T20I on 1 November 2026. Our fair odds are 1.32 for Afghanistan and 4.12 for Zimbabwe, so Zimbabwe's price sits above fair.
What happened in the 2nd T20I between Afghanistan and Zimbabwe?
Afghanistan beat Zimbabwe by 19 runs at Sharjah on 29 October 2026. Afghanistan made 221 for 7, with Azmatullah Omarzai scoring 116 off 50 balls. Zimbabwe made 202 for 5 in reply, and Sikandar Raza finished on 106 not out.
Has Afghanistan won the T20I series against Zimbabwe?
Yes. Afghanistan lead the three-match T20I series against Zimbabwe 2-0 with one game left, after winning at Sharjah Cricket Stadium on 27 October 2026 and 29 October 2026.
When do Afghanistan and Zimbabwe play next after the 3rd T20I?
After the 3rd T20I on 1 November 2026, Afghanistan and Zimbabwe play two Tests at Sharjah Cricket Stadium, starting on 5 November and 13 November 2026.
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