India vs West Indies 5th T20I Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
India predicted to win with 74% probability
India
West Indies 26%West Indies tour of India 2026
India vs West Indiesodds
17 Oct 2026 · 19:00 IST
Match winner: India 1.33 at Dafabet; West Indies 3.45 at Dafabet; checked 07:50–07:54 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1IND | 2WI | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · India 1.33 | 2 · West Indies 3.45 | Payout96.0% |
 | 1 · India 1.31 | 2 · West Indies ▲3.44 | Payout94.9% |
 | 1 · India 1.31 | 2 · West Indies ▲3.44 | Payout94.9% |
 | 1 · India 1.31 | 2 · West Indies ▲3.44 | Payout94.9% |
 | 1 · India 1.31 | 2 · West Indies ▲3.44 | Payout94.9% |
| Highest | 1 · India1.33 | 2 · West Indies3.45 | Payout– |
1X2: India 1.32, Tie 25.00, West Indies 3.475 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa; checked 07:50 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1IND | XTie | 2WI | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · India ▼1.32 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · West Indies ▲3.475 | Payout92.1% |
| 1 · India ▼1.32 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · West Indies ▲3.475 | Payout92.1% |
| 1 · India ▼1.32 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · West Indies ▲3.475 | Payout92.1% |
| 1 · India ▼1.32 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · West Indies ▲3.475 | Payout92.1% |
Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 80%.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • India predicted to win with 74% probability
- • The series is level at 2-2: India won in Lucknow (6 October) and Indore (11 October), West Indies in Ranchi (9 October) and Hyderabad (14 October)
- • Shai Hope has two unbeaten hundreds in this series: 102 from 45 balls at Ranchi and 102 from 50 at Hyderabad
- • Field first is our toss call, at 80%
- • The match-winner market is efficiently priced, so the toss is the angle
India are our pick at 74%.
Our AI model predicts an India win over West Indies in the 5th T20I at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru on Saturday 17 October 2026, starting 7:00 pm IST (13:30 UTC). The series is level at 2-2 and this game decides it. India won the opener in Lucknow by eight wickets (6 October) and the third game in Indore by 14 runs (11 October). West Indies won in Ranchi by six wickets (9 October) and in Hyderabad by 24 runs (14 October).
Can India find an answer to Shai Hope in Bengaluru?
India's top order has produced the big innings. In the Lucknow opener against West Indies on 6 October, Shreyas Iyer made 102 not out off 43 balls and was named player of the match as India reached 172 for 2 in 14.4 overs to win by eight wickets.
Sanju Samson has been India's fastest scorer. Against West Indies at Ranchi on 9 October he made 82 off 41 balls, and against them at Hyderabad five days later, on 14 October, Sanju Samson made 56 from 23. At Indore on 11 October, Abhishek Sharma hit 69 off 30 balls against West Indies, and India's 223 was enough by 14 runs.
Against West Indies at Ranchi (9 October), Tilak Varma made 44 not out from 18 balls, and Tilak Varma made 43 from 25 against them at Hyderabad (14 October).
With the ball, Arshdeep Singh was player of the match against West Indies at Indore on 11 October, taking 3 for 44 in four overs. Naman Dhir took 3 for 31 in four overs against West Indies in the 6 October opener, and Axar Patel took 2 for 26 in 3.1 overs in that same game.
Can West Indies win the series behind Shai Hope?
Shai Hope has been the batter of the series. Against India at Ranchi on 9 October, Shai Hope made 102 not out off 45 balls, and West Indies ran down India's 249 for 5 with nine balls to spare. In the 4th T20I at Hyderabad on 14 October, Shai Hope made 102 not out from 50 balls against India as West Indies posted 247 for 3 and won by 24 runs. Shai Hope was player of the match both times.
Sherfane Rutherford has made runs in all four games against India: 56 off 34 balls in Lucknow (6 October), 84 off 37 in Ranchi (9 October), 32 off 20 in Indore (11 October) and 49 not out off 26 in Hyderabad (14 October). Against India at Indore on 11 October, Shimron Hetmyer made 43 from 26 balls, and 33 from 12 in the 14 October game.
The bowling turned the 4th T20I. Keemo Paul took 5 for 41 in four overs against India on 14 October. Gudakesh Motie took 2 for 13 in two overs against India in that 14 October game. Earlier, Roston Chase took 3 for 24 in four overs against India at Ranchi on 9 October.
Key Matchups: Shai Hope against Arshdeep Singh
Shai Hope vs Arshdeep Singh: Shai Hope made his second hundred of the series against India on 14 October, 102 not out from 50 balls. Arshdeep Singh took 3 for 44 in four overs against West Indies at Indore on 11 October, when India won by 14 runs.
Sanju Samson vs Keemo Paul: Against West Indies on 14 October, Sanju Samson made 56 from 23 balls before Keemo Paul had him caught by Shimron Hetmyer. Keemo Paul finished that 14 October game with 5 for 41.
Abhishek Sharma vs Roston Chase: Roston Chase dismissed Abhishek Sharma in the first two games of the series, in Lucknow on 6 October and in Ranchi on 9 October. In the 11 October game at Indore, Abhishek Sharma then hit 69 off 30 balls against West Indies.
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
This T20I series is level at 2-2. India beat West Indies by eight wickets in Lucknow (6 October 2026) and by 14 runs in Indore (11 October 2026). West Indies beat India by six wickets in Ranchi (9 October 2026) and by 24 runs in Hyderabad (14 October 2026). The 5th T20I in Bengaluru decides the series.
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru. The 5th T20I is a night match, starting at 7:00 pm IST (13:30 UTC).
- Scoring: India defended 160 for 8 against Australia here on 3 December 2023 and won by six runs. Australia ran down India's 190 for 4 here on 27 February 2019 to win by seven wickets.
- West Indies here: West Indies beat Sri Lanka by seven wickets at this ground at the World T20 on 20 March 2016.
- Toss: Toss call: Field first — the toss winner chose to field in all four games of this series, all night matches (India on 6 and 14 October, West Indies on 9 and 11 October); we put the chance that the toss winner fields first at 80%. See our IND vs WI toss call, locked in before the coin lands.
M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · 40,000 capacity
Full Guide →54m – 70m boundaries
175
Avg 1st Innings
53%
Chase Win Rate
65%
Toss → Field
💧 Moderate dew expected. Chase advantage: +4%. Slight edge to chasing side.
At 920m altitude, the ball travels further at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium than any other IPL venue. The 40,000-capacity Bengaluru ground has six-hitting rates 40% above IPL average.
Match Analysis: where the series decider will be won and lost
Big totals have decided this series. West Indies made 252 for 4 in 18.3 overs to beat India's 249 for 5 at Ranchi (9 October), and their 247 for 3 was 24 runs too many for India at Hyderabad (14 October).
The side batting first won in Indore (11 October) and in Hyderabad (14 October). The side chasing won in Lucknow (6 October) and in Ranchi (9 October). India stay favourites whichever side bats first.
India's best route is a fast start from the top order and early wickets against Shai Hope. West Indies' best route is the one that won them Ranchi and Hyderabad: Shai Hope batting through, with Sherfane Rutherford finishing.
India vs West Indies Prediction: India to win the series decider
Our AI model gives India a 74% chance of winning in Bengaluru and taking the series. West Indies have won two of the four games, both times with a Shai Hope hundred.
The match-winner market has this about right: India's best price is level with our fair line, and West Indies' sits under ours. The toss is the angle: we expect whoever wins it to field. If West Indies bat first, our number on India rises to 76.6%, and India at 1.36 becomes a 4.2% edge.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Best Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 73.6% | 74% | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| West Indies | 26.4% | 26% | 3.65 | 3.79 |
Efficiently priced. India's best price of 1.36 is level with our fair 1.36, and West Indies' best of 3.65 sits under our 3.79, so the match-winner market has this about right and the market broadly agrees with our model. The angle is the toss, where we expect a field-first choice. Odds captured on 15 October 2026.
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win India vs West Indies in the 5th T20I?
Our AI model gives India a 73.6% chance (74%) against West Indies at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru on 17 October 2026. The series is level at 2-2, so the winner of this game takes the series.
What is the toss prediction for India vs West Indies?
We expect the toss winner to field first in Bengaluru on 17 October 2026, and we put that chance at 80%. The toss winner chose to field in all four games of this series: India on 6 and 14 October, West Indies on 9 and 11 October 2026.
What are the best odds for India vs West Indies?
The best available prices for the 5th T20I are 1.36 on India and 3.65 on West Indies. Our fair prices are 1.36 and 3.79, so the match-winner market is efficiently priced on our numbers.
What happened in the 4th T20I between India and West Indies?
West Indies beat India by 24 runs at Hyderabad on 14 October 2026. Shai Hope made 102 not out from 50 balls against India in that 14 October 2026 game as West Indies posted 247 for 3. Keemo Paul took 5 for 41 in four overs against India on 14 October 2026.
Has Shai Hope scored hundreds against India in this series?
Yes, two. Shai Hope made 102 not out off 45 balls against India at Ranchi on 9 October 2026 and 102 not out from 50 balls against India at Hyderabad on 14 October 2026, and he was player of the match in both games.
What time does India vs West Indies 5th T20I start?
The 5th T20I starts at 7:00 pm IST (13:30 UTC) on Saturday 17 October 2026 at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru.