Kathmandu Gorkhas vs Lumbini Lions Match 18 Prediction & Betting Tips

Lumbini Lions are our pick at 58%.

Our AI model predicts Lumbini Lions to beat Kathmandu Gorkhas in the Nepal Premier League 2026 18th Match, with a 57.5% win probability.

The game is at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground in Kirtipur on Saturday 7 November 2026, listed for 4:15 pm IST (10:45 UTC).

The market also makes Lumbini favourites, at 56.5%, so we and the bookmakers broadly agree on this one.

Which team is stronger, Kathmandu Gorkhas or Lumbini Lions?

Kathmandu Gorkhas started their season with a defeat. Janakpur Bolts bowled them out for 115 and won by eight wickets on 29 October 2026.

Kathmandu have won both of their games since. They beat Karnali Yaks by four wickets (2 November), with two balls left.

Then they bowled Biratnagar Kings out for 83 and won by nine wickets in the 5 November 2026 game, with 62 balls left.

Karan KC leads Kathmandu, and David Warner has opened the batting in both of their wins this season.

Lumbini Lions have not lost in 2026. They beat Sudur Paschim Royals by seven wickets in the season opener on 26 October 2026.

Their 31 October game against Chitwan Rhinos was abandoned without a ball bowled. Lumbini then beat Pokhara Avengers by eight wickets (3 November).

Lumbini made 149 for 8 against Janakpur Bolts on 5 November 2026. They defended it and won by 16 runs.

Rohit Paudel captains Lumbini, and their attack has been the stronger part of their game so far this season.

Key Matchups: Lumbini's bowlers against Kathmandu's batting

Kishor Mahato and Sher Malla against the top order. Kishor Mahato took 4 for 22 for Lumbini against Sudur Paschim Royals on 26 October 2026.

Sher Malla took 3 for 11 for Lumbini in that 26 October win. Against Kathmandu in the 2025 Eliminator (10 December 2025), Sher Malla took 3 for 22 for Lumbini.

Ruben Trumpelmann with the new ball. Ruben Trumpelmann took 3 for 16 for Lumbini against Pokhara Avengers on 3 November 2026.

Kathmandu's captain at the finish. Karan KC made 44 off 20 balls for Kathmandu against Karnali Yaks on 2 November 2026. Karan KC also took 2 for 35 for Kathmandu in that game.

In the 25 November 2025 meeting, Karan KC made 34 not out off 11 balls for Kathmandu against Lumbini. Jahandad Khan added 22 not out off 10 balls for Kathmandu in the 2 November chase against Karnali Yaks.

Lumbini's batters. D'Arcy Short made 40 off 18 balls for Lumbini against Sudur Paschim Royals on 26 October 2026.

Rohit Paudel made 47 not out off 32 balls for Lumbini against Pokhara Avengers on 3 November 2026. Niroshan Dickwella made 27 not out off 26 balls for Lumbini in that win.

Kathmandu Gorkhas vs Lumbini Lions prediction: Lumbini's bowling gives them the edge

This game should be won and lost in Kathmandu's batting against Lumbini's attack.

Kathmandu were bowled out for 115 by Janakpur Bolts (29 October 2026), and for 111 by Lumbini in the 2025 Eliminator.

Kathmandu's batting is not short of hitting, though. They made 181 for 6 to beat Karnali Yaks in the 2 November game.

Lumbini's batting has had little chasing to do. They won their two chases with 61 and 50 balls left.

A shortened game in the rain would bring the sides closer together.

Our AI model makes Lumbini Lions 57.5% favourites, with fair odds of 1.74, against 2.35 for Kathmandu Gorkhas.

Any Lumbini price above 1.74 would be value. The current partner prices sit below it, so the toss is the sharper angle, and we expect the toss winner to field.