Big Bash League

Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Match Result & Analysis

Melbourne Stars cricket team logo

MS

48%
WINNER
VS
Sydney Thunder cricket team logo

ST

52%

Manuka Oval, Canberra,

Our pre-match prediction
Analysis by CricketPrediction.com
❌ Prediction Incorrect
We Predicted
Sydney Thunder
at 52% confidence
Actual Result
Melbourne Stars won
🏏 See Our Latest Predictions
πŸ“ Pre-Match Analysis

Result: Melbourne Stars won by 9 wickets. ST 128 vs MS 132/1.

Our Prediction: Sydney Thunder β€” Incorrect


Pre-match analysis published on 28 December 2025:

Nothing between these sides on paper - Sydney Thunder just shade it.

Defending totals has worked well at Manuka Oval, Canberra recently, with chasers winning just 39%.

Sydney Thunder come out swinging in powerplays, averaging 8.58 runs per over. With the new ball, Melbourne Stars have been excellent - an economy of 7.61 in powerplays.

Melbourne Stars's middle-overs game is a strength - they build innings smartly at 8.1 RPO.

The prediction: Sydney Thunder to win at 52% probability.

Phase Comparison

Powerplay SR

MS
ST

Middle Overs SR

MS
ST

Death Overs SR

MS
ST

Death Economy

MS
ST

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