🇦🇺 BBL
MS Melbourne Stars
48%
VS
ST Sydney Thunder
52%
Manuka Oval, Canberra,
Big Bash League
Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Match Recap
Result: Melbourne Stars won by 9 wickets. ST 128 vs MS 132/1.
Our Prediction: Sydney Thunder — Incorrect
Pre-match analysis published on 28 December 2025:
Nothing between these sides on paper - Sydney Thunder just shade it.Defending totals has worked well at Manuka Oval, Canberra recently, with chasers winning just 39%.
Sydney Thunder come out swinging in powerplays, averaging 8.58 runs per over. With the new ball, Melbourne Stars have been excellent - an economy of 7.61 in powerplays.
Melbourne Stars's middle-overs game is a strength - they build innings smartly at 8.1 RPO.
The prediction: Sydney Thunder to win at 52% probability.
