New Zealand vs India 5th T20I Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
India predicted to win with 59% probability
India
New Zealand 41%Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 76%.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • India predicted to win with 59% probability
- • India lead the five-match series 3-1, with wins on 22, 24 and 27 October 2026
- • Glenn Phillips made 107 from 49 balls against India on 30 October 2026, when New Zealand won by 87 runs
- • Field first is our toss call, at 76%, after India won the toss and bowled in all four games so far
- • India at 1.76 sit above our fair odds of 1.68, an edge on the favourite
India are our pick at 59%.
Our AI model predicts India to beat New Zealand at Seddon Park, Hamilton on Sunday 1 November 2026, with a 59.4% win probability. India have already won the five-match series and lead it 3-1. New Zealand took the 4th T20I by 87 runs at Eden Park, and the price we like is still India at 1.76.
How New Zealand hit back with 259 for 7 at Eden Park
New Zealand beat India by 87 runs in the 4th T20I at Eden Park, Auckland on 30 October 2026. India won the toss and chose to bowl. New Zealand made 259 for 7 in their 20 overs.
Glenn Phillips made 107 off 49 balls, with 10 sixes, against India on 30 October 2026. Michael Bracewell added 65 from 25 balls in the same innings against India (30 October 2026). Finn Allen made 31 off 17 balls against India at the top of that innings (30 October 2026).
The bowling then did its job. India finished on 172 for 9 in reply on 30 October 2026. Jacob Duffy took 4 for 23 in four overs against India on 30 October 2026. Mitchell Santner took 2 for 24 against India in the same innings (30 October 2026).
Glenn Phillips had already made 82 not out off 40 balls against India at Hagley Oval on 22 October 2026, when New Zealand made 225 for 4 and still lost. Daryl Mitchell made 89 not out off 52 balls against India in Wellington on 27 October 2026, in a total of 198 for 3.
India won the first three games batting second
India batted second and won on 22, 24 and 27 October 2026, which settled the series before Auckland. On 22 October 2026 at Hagley Oval, Christchurch, India made 230 for 6 in 19.4 overs and won by 4 wickets.
Sanju Samson made 67 off 33 balls against New Zealand in that chase (22 October 2026). Naman Dhir finished on 42 not out off 15 balls against New Zealand on 22 October 2026.
India won by 4 wickets at Hagley Oval again on 24 October 2026, reaching 181 for 6 in 19.5 overs. Tilak Varma made 51 not out off 26 balls against New Zealand in that chase (24 October 2026).
The quickest chase came in Wellington. New Zealand made 198 for 3 against India in Wellington on 27 October 2026. India reached 199 for 4 in 13.2 overs and won by 6 wickets. Abhishek Sharma made 113 off 38 balls, with 11 sixes, against New Zealand in that chase (27 October 2026).
Key Matchups: Jacob Duffy against India's top order
Jacob Duffy vs Abhishek Sharma: Jacob Duffy took 4 for 23 against India on 30 October 2026. Jacob Duffy dismissed Sanju Samson for 4 off 2 balls in that innings (30 October 2026). Abhishek Sharma made 113 from 38 balls against New Zealand on 27 October 2026.
Mitchell Santner vs Shreyas Iyer: Mitchell Santner bowled Shreyas Iyer for 7 on 24 October 2026. Mitchell Santner finished that game with 4 for 21 against India (24 October 2026). On 27 October 2026, Shreyas Iyer was caught by Glenn Phillips off the bowling of Mitchell Santner for 5. The India captain needs a way through the left-arm spin in the middle overs.
Glenn Phillips vs Mayank Yadav: Glenn Phillips made 107 from 49 balls against India on 30 October 2026. Mayank Yadav took 3 for 48 against New Zealand in that innings, also on 30 October 2026. India's quicks need Glenn Phillips out before the death overs.
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
India beat New Zealand by 4 wickets at Hagley Oval on 22 and 24 October 2026, then by 6 wickets in Wellington (27 October 2026). New Zealand won by 87 runs in Auckland on 30 October 2026.
The two sides have met in Hamilton before. On 10 February 2019, New Zealand made 212 for 4 at Seddon Park and beat India by 4 runs. India made 179 for 5 in Hamilton on 29 January 2020. New Zealand also finished on 179 for 6 that day (29 January 2020), and India won the Super Over.
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Seddon Park, Hamilton stages the final game of the series. South Africa won the toss and chose to field at Seddon Park on 17 March 2026. New Zealand made 175 for 6 in that game (17 March 2026) and won by 68 runs.
- Pitch: South Africa were all out for 107 in 15.3 overs in reply in Hamilton on 17 March 2026.
- Start: 12:30 pm IST (07:00 UTC), a night match under floodlights.
- Toss: Toss call: Field first — we put the chance that the toss winner chooses to field at 76%. India won the toss and chose to bowl on 22, 24, 27 and 30 October 2026. In Hamilton, South Africa (17 March 2026) and Pakistan (14 January 2024) both chose to field after winning the toss. We have published our pre-toss call for NZ vs IND on the toss prediction page.
Match Analysis: where New Zealand vs India is won and lost
New Zealand's route is the one they found in Auckland on 30 October 2026. They batted first and made 259 for 7. Jacob Duffy then took four wickets in India's reply.
India's route is the chase, led from the top. If Abhishek Sharma bats deep again, as he did for his 113 in Wellington on 27 October 2026, India should close out the series with a fourth win. If Jacob Duffy and Mitchell Santner take early wickets, New Zealand can win a second game.
New Zealand vs India prediction: India are 59% favourites
Our AI model gives India a 59.4% chance of beating New Zealand at Seddon Park, after three India wins and one New Zealand win in this series.
The value sits with India at 1.76, above our fair odds of 1.68. On the toss, we expect the toss winner to bowl first.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 40.6% | 44.9% | 2.14 | 2.46 |
| India | 59.4% | 55.1% | 1.76 | 1.68 |
Value on India. India at 1.76 sit above our fair odds of 1.68, an edge of about 4.5% on the favourite. New Zealand at 2.14 sit below our fair 2.46. Odds captured on 31 October 2026.
Our model is 4.3 points above the market on India. Here's why. India won three of the four games in this series, each time batting second, on 22, 24 and 27 October 2026. New Zealand's 87-run win at Eden Park on 30 October 2026 came after India chose to bowl again. We still make India clear favourites, by more than the price says.
India tour of New Zealand 2026
New Zealand vs Indiaodds
1 Nov 2026 · 12:30 IST
Match winner: New Zealand 2.19 at 1xBet; India 1.76 at Dafabet; checked 03:15–03:20 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1NZ | 2IND | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · New Zealand ▼2.14 | 2 · India ▲1.76 | Payout96.6% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.18 | 2 · India 1.68 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.18 | 2 · India 1.68 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.18 | 2 · India 1.68 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.18 | 2 · India 1.68 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.18 | 2 · India 1.68 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.19 | 2 · India 1.69 | Payout95.5% |
| Highest | 1 · New Zealand2.19 | 2 · India1.76 | Payout– |
1X2: New Zealand 2.19, Tie 25.00, India 1.69 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 03:15–03:20 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1NZ | XTie | 2IND | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · New Zealand 2.19 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · India 1.69 | Payout92.2% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.19 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · India 1.69 | Payout92.2% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.19 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · India 1.69 | Payout92.2% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.19 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · India 1.69 | Payout92.2% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.19 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · India 1.69 | Payout92.2% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.19 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · India 1.69 | Payout92.2% |
Total runs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Match401.5 | 1.91Melbet | 1.751xBet |
| New Zealand199.5 | 1.92Paripesa | 1.74PlanBet |
| India203.5 | 1.92WinWin | 1.74Melbet |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win New Zealand vs India in the 5th T20I?
Our AI model predicts India to beat New Zealand at Seddon Park, Hamilton on 1 November 2026, with a 59.4% win probability. India lead the five-match series 3-1 after winning on 22, 24 and 27 October 2026.
What is the toss prediction for New Zealand vs India?
Our toss call for New Zealand vs India at Seddon Park on 1 November 2026 is field first, at 76%. India won the toss and chose to bowl in the four T20Is of this series so far, on 22, 24, 27 and 30 October 2026.
What are the odds for New Zealand vs India?
New Zealand are 2.14 and India are 1.76 for the 5th T20I on 1 November 2026. Our fair odds are 2.46 for New Zealand and 1.68 for India, so India's price sits above fair.
What happened in the 4th T20I between New Zealand and India?
New Zealand beat India by 87 runs at Eden Park, Auckland on 30 October 2026. New Zealand made 259 for 7, with Glenn Phillips scoring 107 off 49 balls. India replied with 172 for 9. Jacob Duffy took 4 for 23 against India in that innings (30 October 2026).
When do New Zealand and India play next after the 5th T20I?
After the 5th T20I on 1 November 2026, New Zealand and India play a five-match ODI series. The 1st ODI is at Eden Park, Auckland on 4 November 2026.
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