Sydney Thunder Women vs Brisbane Heat Women Match 6 Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Sydney Thunder Women predicted to win with 68% probability
Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 59%.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • Sydney Thunder Women predicted to win with 68% probability
- • The Thunder beat the Heat in WBBL|11 by 41 runs (21 November 2025) and by 23 runs at Drummoyne (3 December 2025)
- • India's Yastika Bhatia joins Brisbane Heat Women before this game as an injury replacement
- • Field first is our toss call, at 59%
- • The Thunder at 1.47 carry a marginal edge, a fraction above our fair price of 1.468
Sydney Thunder Women are our pick at 68%.
Our AI model predicts Sydney Thunder Women to beat Brisbane Heat Women at Drummoyne Oval, Sydney on Sunday 1 November 2026, with a 68.1% win probability. The Thunder opened WBBL|12 with a six-wicket win over Melbourne Renegades Women on 29 October 2026. The Heat lost their opener to Sydney Sixers Women by four wickets a day later, on 30 October 2026.
Georgia Voll's four wickets set up the Thunder's opening win
Sydney Thunder Women won the toss and chose to bowl against Melbourne Renegades Women at Junction Oval, Melbourne on 29 October 2026. The Renegades finished on 138 for 9 from their 20 overs.
Georgia Voll took 4 for 26 in her four overs against Melbourne Renegades Women on 29 October 2026. Georgia Voll also opened the batting and made 25 off 18 balls in the reply (29 October 2026).
The chase took 17 overs. Sydney Thunder Women reached 140 for 4 and won by 6 wickets on 29 October 2026. Anika Learoyd made 48 off 37 balls against the Renegades in that chase. Heather Knight finished on 29 not out off 22 balls in the same innings (29 October 2026).
Jemma Barsby is named in the Thunder's 13-player squad for this game, the one change from the opener, which she missed for personal reasons. Phoebe Litchfield captains the side.
Fifties from Knott and Redmayne were not enough for the Heat
Brisbane Heat Women lost to Sydney Sixers Women by 4 wickets at Allan Border Field, Brisbane on 30 October 2026. The Sixers won the toss and chose to bowl. The Heat made 154 for 5 in their 20 overs.
Charli Knott made 57 off 47 balls against Sydney Sixers Women on 30 October 2026. Georgia Redmayne added 58 off 44 balls in the same innings against the Sixers (30 October 2026). The Sixers needed all 20 overs to finish on 157 for 6.
Georgia Redmayne captains the Heat full time this season, as the club confirmed on 23 September 2026. India wicketkeeper-batter Yastika Bhatia, 25, joins the squad as an injury replacement. Cricket Australia reported on 27 October 2026 that Yastika Bhatia would join the Heat before this match.
Key Matchups: Georgia Voll against the Heat's top order
Georgia Voll vs Charli Knott: Georgia Voll took 4 for 26 against Melbourne Renegades Women on 29 October 2026. Charli Knott opened for the Heat and made 57 off 47 balls against Sydney Sixers Women on 30 October 2026. The first six overs will show which of them sets the tone.
Phoebe Litchfield vs the Heat attack: Phoebe Litchfield made 61 off 43 balls against Brisbane Heat Women at Drummoyne Oval on 3 December 2025. The Thunder captain made 14 off 17 balls against the Renegades on 29 October 2026.
Tahlia Wilson vs the Heat new ball: Tahlia Wilson made 79 off 51 balls against Brisbane Heat Women at Allan Border Field (21 November 2025). Heather Knight added 41 off 24 balls against the Heat in that innings (21 November 2025).
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
Sydney Thunder Women beat Brisbane Heat Women by 23 runs at Drummoyne Oval on 3 December 2025. The Heat won the toss and bowled, and the Thunder made 153 for 7. Brisbane Heat Women replied with 130 for 6 (3 December 2025), with Annie O'Neil making 33 off 21 balls against the Thunder.
On 21 November 2025 at Allan Border Field, Sydney Thunder Women made 200 for 6 and won by 41 runs. Brisbane Heat Women were all out for 159 in 19.1 overs in reply (21 November 2025).
The Heat won the WBBL|10 Challenger between the sides. Sydney Thunder Women made 133 for 7 at Allan Border Field (29 November 2024). Brisbane Heat Women reached 134 for 1 in 15.2 overs and won by 9 wickets (29 November 2024).
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Drummoyne Oval, Sydney stages the Thunder's first home game of WBBL|12.
- Pitch: Sydney Thunder Women made 154 for 1 in 18.2 overs to beat Perth Scorchers Women at Drummoyne Oval (19 November 2025). Melbourne Renegades Women bowled the Thunder out for 64 at Drummoyne on 23 November 2025.
- Weather: Open-Meteo's forecast for Sydney, fetched on 31 October 2026, gives 22°C and a 46% chance of rain in the hour of the 04:40 UTC start, falling to 12% by 06:00 UTC.
- Toss: Toss call: Field first — we put the chance that the toss winner chooses to field at 59%. Sydney Thunder Women won the toss and bowled against the Renegades on 29 October 2026. Brisbane Heat Women chose to bowl after winning the toss at Drummoyne on 3 December 2025. See our toss analysis for ST-W vs BH-W, locked in before the coin lands.
Match Analysis: where Thunder vs Heat is won and lost
The Heat's route runs through their top three. Charli Knott and Georgia Redmayne made 57 and 58 against Sydney Sixers Women on 30 October 2026, and the Heat still lost by 4 wickets. They need a bigger total, or early wickets with the ball.
The Thunder's route is depth. Anika Learoyd, Heather Knight and Nadine de Klerk all batted in the chase against the Renegades on 29 October 2026, after Georgia Voll's four wickets kept Melbourne Renegades Women to 138 for 9. If Georgia Voll strikes early again, the Thunder should control the game.
Sydney Thunder Women vs Brisbane Heat Women prediction: Thunder 68% favourites
Our AI model gives Sydney Thunder Women a 68.1% chance of beating Brisbane Heat Women in Sydney. The Thunder beat the Heat in both WBBL|11 meetings (21 November and 3 December 2025), and they start WBBL|12 with a win.
The Thunder price of 1.47 is a marginal edge, a fraction above our fair odds of 1.468. On the toss, we expect the toss winner to bowl first.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Thunder Women | 68.1% | 66.3% | 1.47 | 1.47 |
| Brisbane Heat Women | 31.9% | 33.7% | 2.77 | 3.13 |
Marginal edge on Sydney Thunder Women. The Thunder at 1.47 sit a fraction above our fair price of 1.468, an edge of about 0.1%. The Heat at 2.77 sit below our fair 3.13. Our model is 1.8 points above the market on the Thunder, so the market broadly agrees. Odds captured on 31 October 2026.
Women's Big Bash League
Sydney Thunder Women vs
Brisbane Heat Womenodds
1 Nov 2026 · 10:10 IST
Match winner: Sydney Thunder Women 1.47 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; Brisbane Heat Women 2.77 at Dafabet; checked 05:33–05:35 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1ST-W | 2BH-W | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▼1.47 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▲2.77 | Payout96.0% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.47 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.65 | Payout95.0% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.47 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.65 | Payout95.0% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.47 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.65 | Payout95.0% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.47 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.65 | Payout95.0% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.47 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.65 | Payout95.0% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.47 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.65 | Payout95.0% | |
| Highest | 1 · Sydney Thunder Women1.47 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women2.77 | Payout– |
1X2: Sydney Thunder Women 1.48, Tie 25.00, Brisbane Heat Women 2.66 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 05:35 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1ST-W | XTie | 2BH-W | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.48 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.66 | Payout91.7% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.48 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.66 | Payout91.7% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.48 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.66 | Payout91.7% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.48 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.66 | Payout91.7% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.48 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.66 | Payout91.7% | |
| 1 · Sydney Thunder Women ▲1.48 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Brisbane Heat Women ▼2.66 | Payout91.7% |
Total runs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Match290.5 | 1.64Melbet | 2.06Paripesa |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sydney Thunder Women vs Brisbane Heat Women in the WBBL?
Our AI model predicts Sydney Thunder Women to beat Brisbane Heat Women at Drummoyne Oval, Sydney on 1 November 2026, with a 68.1% win probability. Sydney Thunder Women beat Brisbane Heat Women by 23 runs at Drummoyne on 3 December 2025.
What is the toss prediction for Sydney Thunder Women vs Brisbane Heat Women?
Our toss call for Sydney Thunder Women vs Brisbane Heat Women at Drummoyne Oval on 1 November 2026 is field first, at 59%. Sydney Thunder Women won the toss and bowled against Melbourne Renegades Women on 29 October 2026.
What are the odds for Sydney Thunder Women vs Brisbane Heat Women?
Sydney Thunder Women are 1.47 and Brisbane Heat Women are 2.77 for their WBBL|12 match (1 November 2026). Our fair odds are 1.47 for Sydney Thunder Women and 3.13 for Brisbane Heat Women, a marginal edge on the Thunder.
Who joins the Brisbane Heat Women squad for this match?
India wicketkeeper-batter Yastika Bhatia, 25, joins Brisbane Heat Women as an injury replacement. Cricket Australia reported on 27 October 2026 that Yastika Bhatia would join the Heat before their match against Sydney Thunder Women at Drummoyne Oval on 1 November 2026.
What time does Sydney Thunder Women vs Brisbane Heat Women start?
Sydney Thunder Women vs Brisbane Heat Women starts at 10:10 am IST (04:40 UTC) on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Drummoyne Oval, Sydney. It is the 6th Match of WBBL|12.
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