The Hundred 2026
Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave Prediction & Betting Tips
TR Trent Rockets
SOU Southern Brave
Trent Bridge, Nottinghamยท
๐ฏ 284/489 predictions correctโก Key Takeaways
- โข Trent Rockets predicted to win with 62.1% probability
- โข Rockets have played seven, won six, and the one defeat came first
- โข Southern Brave are sixth on 8 points and beaten in their last two
- โข Final group match for both sides
- โข Rockets at 1.69 against our fair 1.61 is an edge of about 4.9%
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๐ช Toss Prediction Simulator
Flip the Coin โ See How Probabilities Shift
Toss is neutral at Trent Bridge, Nottingham
How batting order moves the Trent Rockets number.
- If Ben Duckett misses out, Rockets lose their most productive batter of the competition and our number drops by roughly 4 to 6 points
- If Jofra Archer and Chris Jordan both bowl at full tilt, Brave's new-ball threat is worth 3 to 5 points back to them
- If rain shortens the game, a compressed contest narrows the gap between a settled side and a struggling one
Trent Rockets to win, our model says 62%.
Our AI model predicts Trent Rockets beat Southern Brave in the 29th match of The Hundred, at Trent Bridge on Monday 10 August 2026. It is the last group game for both, and they arrive at opposite ends of the table: Rockets first on 24 points, Brave sixth on 8. The available price of 1.69 sits below our fair 1.61, and that gap is the story of this one.
Trent Rockets have won six in a row and it is not an accident
Seven matches, six wins, one defeat, and the defeat came first. Trent Rockets lost to Birmingham Phoenix on 24 July and have not lost since, beating London Spirit on 26 July, Welsh Fire on 29 July, Manchester Super Giants on 31 July, Sunrisers Leeds on 2 August, Birmingham Phoenix on 5 August and MI London on 8 August.
Ben Duckett has been the engine of it. His 289 runs are the most by any Rockets batter this competition and second on the whole tournament's run charts, and a top-order batter scoring at that rate in a 100-ball game shortens every innings his side plays. Sam Billings captains a team that no longer needs its best day to win.
Southern Brave have run out of road
Southern Brave's group stage has gone the other way. They lost to Welsh Fire on 22 July, Sunrisers Leeds on 25 July and MI London on 27 July, recovered to beat Birmingham Phoenix on 30 July and London Spirit on 1 August, then lost to Welsh Fire again on 3 August and to Manchester Super Giants on 8 August.
Chris Jordan leads them, and the bowling has stayed respectable even as the results have not. Adil Rashid and Marcus Stoinis are both among the leading wicket-takers in the competition, which is a real credential for a side sixth in the table and the main reason this is not a bigger mismatch than our number says.
Key matchups that decide the evening
Adil Rashid vs Ben Duckett: one of the competition's leading wicket-takers against its second-highest run scorer. Rashid is the surest way Brave slow a Rockets innings, and Duckett is the batter most likely to take the game away before he bowls out.
Jofra Archer and Chris Jordan vs the Rockets top order: Brave's captain and their fastest bowler are a new-ball pairing that does not match their league position. If Rockets are three down inside the first 25 balls, our 62% stops looking safe.
Marcus Stoinis vs the middle phase: a wicket-taking all-rounder is the piece Brave can use wherever the game is going worst. Against a Rockets middle order holding Tim David and Mitchell Santner, expect him early rather than saved.
๐ค Head-to-Head Record
This is the first meeting between Trent Rockets and Southern Brave in the 2026 men's Hundred, so there is no reverse fixture from this season to read across from. The two franchises have met in previous editions, but the published record of those meetings is inconsistent across sources, so we are not putting a number on it. Where a count cannot be pinned down, the honest move is to say so and let this season's evidence carry the prediction.
๐๏ธ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Trent Bridge, Nottingham is Trent Rockets' home ground, and they have spent a season learning it better than a visiting side can in one evening.
- Pitch: a surface that has split close to evenly between chasing and defending in this competition, which is unusual and useful. Batting order is not doing the work here that it does at grounds with a strong bias.
- Format: The Hundred is a 100-ball competition, so the middle phase arrives faster than in a 20-over game and there is less time to rebuild after losing early wickets.
- Toss: Toss call: Field first โ our venue model favours the chase at Trent Bridge, and with the ground splitting evenly the side batting second keeps the advantage of a known target. Our full Trent Bridge, Nottingham toss read โ captain's likely choice, dew, chase-rate context โ is on the dedicated page.
Match analysis: where this match will be won and lost
The first 25 balls decide more of this than usual. Brave's route to an upset is Archer and Jordan removing the top of the Rockets order before Duckett is set, because a 100-ball innings does not give a side long to repair that. Their season has been a story of not quite doing it often enough.
If Rockets survive the new ball, the middle phase belongs to them. Rashid is the one bowler Brave can trust to hold an end, and one spinner cannot cover 100 balls. That is where a six-match run turns from a statistic into an advantage: Rockets have been in this position repeatedly and closed it out. There is also what the game means. Rockets are playing for position at the top; Brave are finishing a season that has already got away from them.
Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave prediction: the favourite carries the value
We make it Trent Rockets at 62.1%, and the case is simple: the best recent form in the competition, at home, against the side directly below everyone else in the table. Our model rates them 62% against a Brave side whose bowling is better than their record and whose batting has not backed it up.
What makes this worth acting on rather than watching is the price. At 1.69 the market asks less for Rockets than our own valuation of 1.61 demands, so the favourite is the value side here, which is not the usual shape of these games.
๐ Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Rockets | 62.1% | 59.2% | 1.69 | 1.61 |
| Southern Brave | 37.9% | 44.8% | 2.23 | 2.64 |
The edge is on the favourite. Trent Rockets at 1.69 beat our fair 1.61 by roughly 4.9%, clearing the threshold where we call something a genuine edge rather than a rounding difference. Southern Brave at 2.23 sit short of our fair 2.64, so the value is one-sided. Odds captured on 9 August 2026.
Our model is 4.8 points above the market on Trent Rockets. Here's why. The market has Rockets at 57.3% once the margin is stripped out; we have 62.1%. Two things look underweighted. First, the shape of the Rockets season: six wins from seven, with the only defeat in the opening game, is a stronger signal than a table position alone conveys. Second, the state of the opposition, beaten by Welsh Fire on 3 August and Manchester Super Giants on 8 August, with nothing left to play for in the group. Prices hold something back for a side with good bowlers, and Southern Brave are that. We think the discount is too generous.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave in The Hundred 2026?
Our AI model predicts Trent Rockets to beat Southern Brave with a 62.1% win probability in the 29th match of The Hundred 2026 at Trent Bridge on 10 August. Rockets have won six of seven group games; Southern Brave have won two.
What is the toss prediction for Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave?
We expect the side winning the toss at Trent Bridge to field first. The ground splits close to evenly between chasing and defending in The Hundred, so the toss does not move our 62.1% figure for Trent Rockets in either direction.
What are the best odds for Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave?
Trent Rockets are available at 1.69 and Southern Brave at 2.23 for this fixture on 10 August 2026. Our fair odds are 1.61 and 2.64, so Trent Rockets carry an edge of roughly 4.9% and Southern Brave do not.
How does the toss affect Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave?
It barely does. Trent Bridge divides close to evenly between chasing and defending in The Hundred, so our scenario map keeps Trent Rockets on 62.1% whichever side bats first. At grounds with a strong bias the batting order can move a prediction several points; here it moves it by none.
What do Trent Rockets and Southern Brave need from this match?
It is the final group game for both. Trent Rockets are first with 24 points from seven matches and are playing for position going into the knockouts. Southern Brave are sixth on 8 points and have already run out of room in the group.
Have Trent Rockets and Southern Brave played each other in The Hundred 2026?
No. The match at Trent Bridge on 10 August 2026 is the first meeting between Trent Rockets and Southern Brave in the 2026 men's competition, so there is no reverse fixture from this season to compare it against.
