Chitwan Rhinos vs Lumbini Lions Match 7 Prediction & Betting Tips

Our prediction

Lumbini Lions predicted to win with 52.2% probability

Lumbini Lions cricket team logo Lumbini Lions
52%
Coin-flip
Chitwan Rhinos cricket team logoChitwan Rhinos 48%

Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur

Our match picks: 457 of 740 right →

Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bowl first

We expect the toss winner to field.

Toss preview ›

Key Takeaways

  • • Lumbini Lions predicted to win with 52.2% probability
  • • Lumbini bowled Sudur Paschim Royals out for 87 and won by 7 wickets in their 2026 opener (26 October 2026)
  • • Chitwan beat Biratnagar Kings by 8 runs on 27 October 2026, with Dawid Malan making 70
  • • We expect the toss winner to field first (70%)
  • • The match-winner market is fairly priced, with Lumbini at 1.82 against our fair odds of 1.92

Lumbini Lions to edge Chitwan Rhinos at Kirtipur.

Our AI model gives Lumbini Lions a 52.2% chance of beating Chitwan Rhinos in the 7th Match of the Nepal Premier League 2026 at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur, on 31 October 2026, at 12:15 pm IST (06:45 UTC). Both sides won their opening game, the market has the match close to level, and the toss is the angle worth a look.

Can Chitwan Rhinos follow up their win over Biratnagar?

Chitwan Rhinos opened their 2026 season against Biratnagar Kings in the day game on 27 October 2026. Biratnagar won the toss and chose to bowl, and Chitwan made 157 for 3 in their 20 overs.

Dawid Malan made 70 off 50 balls in that innings against Biratnagar Kings (27 October 2026). Ravi Bopara added 32 not out off 26 balls against Biratnagar on 27 October 2026. Dan Mousley finished on 29 not out off 22 balls against Biratnagar in the same innings.

Biratnagar were then all out for 149 in 19.3 overs, and Chitwan won by 8 runs. Kamal Airee took 4 for 26 in his four overs against Biratnagar Kings on 27 October 2026 and was Player of the Match.

Ravi Bopara made 66 off 55 balls for Chitwan against Lumbini Lions on 20 November 2025. Chitwan's 142 for 7 was not enough in that game, as Lumbini won by 6 wickets.

Can Lumbini Lions carry their 2025 title form into this season?

Lumbini Lions began 2026 in the season's 1st Match, against Sudur Paschim Royals on 26 October 2026. Lumbini won the toss and bowled, and the Royals were all out for 87 in 17.2 overs.

Sher Malla took 3 for 11 in his four overs against Sudur Paschim Royals in that 26 October game and was Player of the Match. Lumbini then reached 88 for 3 in 9.5 overs and won by 7 wickets, with 61 balls remaining.

D'Arcy Short made 40 off 18 balls in the chase against Sudur Paschim Royals (26 October 2026). Aasif Sheikh made 32 off 25 balls in the same game, also on 26 October 2026.

That opener followed Lumbini's 2025 title. In the final on 13 December 2025, Sudur Paschim Royals won the toss, batted and were all out for 85 in 19.1 overs. Lumbini made 86 for 4 in 9 overs and won by 6 wickets, with 66 balls remaining.

Key matchups: Dawid Malan against Sher Malla, D'Arcy Short against Kamal Airee

Dawid Malan vs Sher Malla: Dawid Malan made 70 off 50 balls against Biratnagar Kings on 27 October 2026. Sher Malla took 3 for 11 against Sudur Paschim Royals on 26 October 2026, so Chitwan's top scorer meets Lumbini's Player of the Match from the opener.

D'Arcy Short vs Kamal Airee: D'Arcy Short made 40 off 18 balls against Sudur Paschim Royals on 26 October 2026. Kamal Airee took 4 for 26 against Biratnagar Kings on 27 October 2026, and Chitwan will want the same early wickets.

Ravi Bopara vs Lumbini's attack: Ravi Bopara's 66 off 55 balls against Lumbini Lions on 20 November 2025 came in a defeat, as Lumbini won that game by 6 wickets. Chitwan need more runs around him this time.

🤝 Head-to-Head Record

Lumbini Lions have won both Nepal Premier League meetings with Chitwan Rhinos, on 10 December 2024 and 20 November 2025. In the first, at Kirtipur, Chitwan won the toss and bowled, and Lumbini made 167 for 6. Chitwan replied with 134 for 8, and Lumbini won by 33 runs.

The sides met again at Kirtipur on 20 November 2025. Lumbini chose to field on winning the toss, and Chitwan made 142 for 7. Lumbini reached 146 for 4 in 18.3 overs and won by 6 wickets, with 9 balls remaining.

🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss

Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur stages this 7th Match as a day game.

  • Pitch: In the day game of 27 October 2026, Chitwan made 157 for 3 and won by 8 runs. Kathmandu Gorkhas were all out for 115 in the day game of 29 October 2026, and Janakpur Bolts won that one by 8 wickets.
  • Start: 12:15 pm IST (06:45 UTC), a day game.
  • Toss: Toss call: Field first — we expect the toss winner to field, at 70%. Lumbini fielded after winning the toss against Chitwan on 20 November 2025, and Chitwan chose to bowl when they won it against Lumbini on 10 December 2024. In this season's day games, Biratnagar Kings won the toss and bowled on 27 October 2026, while Kathmandu Gorkhas won it and batted on 29 October 2026. See our CHR vs LUL toss call, locked in before the coin lands.

Match analysis: where Chitwan Rhinos vs Lumbini Lions will be won and lost

Lumbini won the 10 December 2024 meeting batting first and the 20 November 2025 meeting chasing. This season's two day games split the same way: Chitwan won batting first against Biratnagar on 27 October 2026, and Janakpur Bolts won chasing against Kathmandu Gorkhas on 29 October 2026.

Chitwan's route is the one they took against Biratnagar: a big innings from Dawid Malan and a total that Kamal Airee and the attack can defend. Their 157 for 3 on 27 October 2026 was enough by 8 runs.

Lumbini's route runs through their bowlers. Their attack set up the 7-wicket win in the 26 October 2026 opener, and early wickets would leave Chitwan chasing the game.

Chitwan Rhinos vs Lumbini Lions prediction: Lumbini narrowly, with the toss as the angle

Our AI model makes Lumbini Lions 52% favourites for the 7th Match at Kirtipur. Both prices sit below our fair odds, so the match-winner market is fairly priced, and the angle is the toss, where we expect the toss winner to field first (70%).

📊 Odds & Betting Value

Team Our Model Market Implied Odds Fair Odds
Chitwan Rhinos 47.8% 48.1% 1.95 2.09
Lumbini Lions 52.2% 51.9% 1.82 1.92

The match-winner market is fairly priced. Lumbini's 1.82 sits below our fair odds of 1.92, and Chitwan's 1.95 sits below their fair 2.09. The market broadly agrees with our call: our model is 0.3 points above it on Lumbini Lions. Odds captured 30 October 2026.

Our prediction ↑

Nepal Premier League

Chitwan Rhinos vs Lumbini Lionsodds

31 Oct 2026 · 12:15 IST

Match winner: Chitwan Rhinos 1.99 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; Lumbini Lions 1.82 at Dafabet; checked 03:15–03:18 IST.

Chitwan Rhinos vs Lumbini Lions — Match winner
Bookmaker1CHR2LULPayout
Dafabet
1 · Chitwan Rhinos 1.952 · Lumbini Lions 1.82Payout94.1%
WinWin
1 · Chitwan Rhinos 1.992 · Lumbini Lions 1.79Payout94.5%
Melbet
1 · Chitwan Rhinos 1.992 · Lumbini Lions 1.79Payout94.5%
Megapari
1 · Chitwan Rhinos 1.992 · Lumbini Lions 1.79Payout94.5%
Paripesa
1 · Chitwan Rhinos 1.992 · Lumbini Lions 1.79Payout94.5%
PlanBet
1 · Chitwan Rhinos 1.992 · Lumbini Lions 1.79Payout94.5%
1xBet
1 · Chitwan Rhinos 1.992 · Lumbini Lions 1.79Payout94.5%
Highest1 · Chitwan Rhinos1.992 · Lumbini Lions1.82Payout–
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Chitwan Rhinos vs Lumbini Lions in the Nepal Premier League?

Our AI model predicts Lumbini Lions to beat Chitwan Rhinos, with a 52.2% win probability, in the 7th Match at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur (31 October 2026). Lumbini beat Chitwan by 6 wickets when the sides met on 20 November 2025.

What is the toss prediction for Chitwan Rhinos vs Lumbini Lions?

We expect the toss winner to field first in Chitwan Rhinos vs Lumbini Lions, at 70%. The game at Kirtipur starts at 12:15 pm IST (06:45 UTC) on 31 October 2026.

What are the odds for Chitwan Rhinos vs Lumbini Lions?

At the time of writing, 30 October 2026, Chitwan Rhinos were priced at 1.95 and Lumbini Lions at 1.82, against our fair odds of 2.09 and 1.92. Both prices sit below our fair odds, so the match-winner market is fairly priced.

Have Chitwan Rhinos and Lumbini Lions met before?

Yes, twice in the Nepal Premier League, and Lumbini Lions won both: by 33 runs at Kirtipur on 10 December 2024, and by 6 wickets at Kirtipur on 20 November 2025.

How did Chitwan Rhinos do in their last game?

Chitwan Rhinos beat Biratnagar Kings by 8 runs on 27 October 2026. Biratnagar won the toss and bowled, and Chitwan made 157 for 3. Biratnagar were then all out for 149 in 19.3 overs.

Who won the 2025 Nepal Premier League final?

Lumbini Lions won the 2025 final, beating Sudur Paschim Royals by 6 wickets at Kirtipur on 13 December 2025. The Royals were all out for 85. Lumbini made 86 for 4 in 9 overs.

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