Cricket match action
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Adelaide Strikers cricket team logo

AS

WINNER
VS
Sydney Thunder cricket team logo

ST

Adelaide Oval,

Big Bash League

Adelaide Strikers vs Sydney Thunder Match Recap

Last updated: 12 January 2026

Analysis by Vikram Sharma ยท Quantitative Strategist ยท

Result: Adelaide Strikers won by 6 runs. AS 165/8 vs ST 159/7.

Our Prediction: Adelaide Strikers โ€” Correct


Pre-match analysis published on 6 January 2026:

We're backing Adelaide Strikers in a match that could go either way.

The pitch at Adelaide Oval has played fairly, giving both approaches an equal shot.

Adelaide Strikers's powerplay prowess (9.32 RPO) should set up a strong platform. Early wickets are Sydney Thunder's strength - 9.08 economy with the new ball.

Adelaide Strikers's middle-overs game is a strength - they build innings smartly at 8.46 RPO.

Sydney Thunder have the edge in the death overs, with bowlers going at just 9.55.

Form and conditions align for Adelaide Strikers in this matchup. Don't write off Sydney Thunder completely - T20 margins are thin and momentum shifts quickly.

Adelaide Strikers at 60% confidence looks solid value.

Win Probability

AS
ST

Venue Analysis

Toss Prediction

Bat
Field

Innings Win Rate

1st
Chase