Assam vs Chandigarh Match Prediction

Assam are favourites in this basement battle between the two weakest teams in Elite Group B. Both sides are eliminated from qualification, but Assam (1 win, 4 losses) have shown they can compete, while Chandigarh (0 wins, 5 losses) have been outclassed in every match. Sibsankar Roy has been the standout performer for Assam with a match-winning century against Hyderabad.

Team Context and Recent Form

Assam (W1-L4, 4 pts, 7th): Lost to Bengal by 85 runs on January 3, bowled out for 217 chasing 303. Sibsankar Roy scored 112 and took 2/26 in their only win against Hyderabad - a genuine match-winner with both bat and ball. Pradyun Saikia and captain Sumit Ghadigaonkar provide batting depth, while Mukhtar Hussain leads the bowling attack with his left-arm spin. Riyan Parag remains unavailable due to shoulder injury rehabilitation at the BCCI Centre of Excellence.

Chandigarh (W0-L5, 0 pts, 8th): Hammered by 136 runs by Hyderabad on January 3, bowled out for 150 chasing 287. Earlier losses include 227 runs to UP (conceding 367/4) and 10 wickets to J&K. Manan Vohra scored 122 against Bengal but cannot carry the team alone. The bowling unit lacks penetration - no Chandigarh bowler has taken more than 4 wickets in the tournament. They have conceded 280+ in four of five matches, suggesting structural weaknesses that one good innings cannot fix.

Key Players to Watch

Our Prediction

Assam have the edge with better batting depth and their solitary win proving they can close out matches. Chandigarh have collapsed repeatedly - 140 vs UP, 150 vs HYD - and lack the bowling to restrict any opposition. The 09:00 IST start at Sanosara Cricket Ground B may offer some early seam movement, but neither side has quality pace options to exploit it. Unless Manan Vohra produces a match-winning knock with minimal support, Chandigarh are set for another defeat.

Assam at 62% confidence is our pick.

Betting Value

Current odds of 1.50 imply 66.7% for Assam - slightly higher than our 62% model probability. Chandigarh at 2.40 (41.7% implied) also sits above our 38% assessment. The market has priced this match accurately. Fair odds based on our analysis: Assam 1.61, Chandigarh 2.63. With no edge on either side, this is a prediction-only tip. Monitor the toss - if Chandigarh win and bat first on a fresh pitch, their odds may drift enough to create value. Otherwise, keep your powder dry for better opportunities.