Uttar Pradesh vs Vidarbha Match Prediction

The top two teams in Group B clash at Rajkot on 6 January 2026 in what could be a knockout preview. Uttar Pradesh arrive as the only unbeaten team in the tournament (W5-L0, 20 points), while Vidarbha (W4-L1, 16 points) have proven they belong at this level.

Team Context and Recent Form

Uttar Pradesh have been flawless. Five wins from five, a net run rate of +0.855, and victories against every opponent they have faced including Chandigarh, Gujarat, Odisha, Jammu & Kashmir, and Puducherry. Their batting has been anchored by captain Rinku Singh, who has amassed 273 runs at an average of 136.50 with a strike rate of 118.18. His 106 not out against Chandigarh and 88 not out against Gujarat demonstrate his ability to finish matches under pressure.

Vidarbha suffered their only defeat to Hyderabad on 2 January, posting 253/7 and failing to defend. However, their most recent outing was a statement performance: 366/4 against Baroda, with Aman Mokhade scoring 150 not out. Mokhade leads the tournament run charts with 487 runs, including a century against Puducherry as well. Dhruv Shorey had a remarkable streak of five consecutive List A centuries, but that ended in Round 3 when he was dismissed for 43 against Chandigarh. He still contributes 253 runs to this campaign.

Key Players to Watch

Our Prediction

We give Uttar Pradesh a 62% probability to win. The rationale: they are the only unbeaten side, Rinku Singh is in exceptional touch, and critically, Zeeshan Ansari with 17 wickets is the leading wicket-taker in the entire tournament. His left-arm orthodox bowling has been the difference in tight games.

Betting Value

Bookmakers price this as a coin-flip (1.85 for both teams), implying 54% each. Our model gives UP 62%, creating +8.0% edge. This is solid value on a team that has not lost a single game. Vidarbha are quality, but the market is undervaluing UP's dominance. BET: Uttar Pradesh @ 1.85, stake 1 unit.

Value Note: UP at 1.85 offers clear value. Their perfect record and top tournament performers (Rinku, Ansari) justify 62% confidence. The market pricing this as 50-50 is an inefficiency worth exploiting.