Australia Women vs New Zealand Women Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bowl first 52%

We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 52%.

Our toss calls: 327 of 533 right →

New Zealand Women tour of Australia, 2026 · 1st T20I · Sunday, 18 October 2026 · 08:15 UTC (19:15 local) · 13:45 IST · North Sydney Oval, Sydney

What we know about this toss

Bowl first 52% Bat first 48%
  • Captains bowl first here. 46 of 69 toss winners have fielded at North Sydney Oval since 2014 (67%).(points to bowling first)
  • Both sides like to bat first. Australia Women have batted in 7 of their last 10 tosses won; New Zealand Women have batted in 7 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to batting first)
  • Evening start. Dew can reach the second innings (19:15 local).(points to bowling first)
  • Batting first wins here. Only 30 of 68 chasing sides have won (44.1%).(points to batting first)
  • Our call: bowl first — 52%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at North Sydney Oval

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2025-12-11Sydney SixersFieldPerth ScorchersNo
2025-12-07Adelaide StrikersFieldSydney SixersNo
2025-11-30Sydney SixersFieldSydney SixersYes
2025-11-30Adelaide StrikersFieldAdelaide StrikersYes
2025-11-20Sydney SixersFieldMelbourne StarsNo
2025-11-20Hobart HurricanesFieldHobart HurricanesYes
2025-11-13Hobart HurricanesFieldHobart HurricanesYes
2024-11-14Brisbane HeatBatBrisbane HeatNo
2024-11-01Melbourne StarsBatMelbourne StarsNo
2024-11-01Sydney ThunderBatSydney ThunderNo

Women's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Australia Women have chosen to field in 43 of the 82 tosses they won in our women's T20 data (last 11: 4 field).

New Zealand Women have chosen to field in 39 of the 79 tosses they won in our women's T20 data (last 11: 3 field).

Does the toss matter at North Sydney Oval?

In 68 decided women's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 30 (44.1%).

Start: 08:15 UTC · 19:15 local time (evening match).

How this AUS-W vs NZ-W toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: our toss tracking approach.

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AUS-W vs NZ-W toss prediction FAQ

What is the AUS-W vs NZ-W toss prediction?

Close call, leaning bowl first — we put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 52%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at North Sydney Oval?

In 68 decided women's T20 matches at North Sydney Oval in our data, the side batting second won 30 (44.1%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →

Last updated: 2026-10-16. Published 2026-10-16.

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