Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Toss Prediction

Sri Lanka tour of Pakistan, 2026 · 2nd T20I · Sunday, 11 October 2026 · 13:00 UTC (18:00 local) · 18:30 IST · Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi

Toss prediction from ground record, toss habits and start time

What will the toss winner choose?

Bowl first · 52% field-first

Close call, leaning bowl first — weighing this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time, our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 52%.

Based on
Ground record, toss habits and start time
Tosses at this ground
53
Chose to field
69.8%
Period
2020–2026

Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.

What we looked at

Bowl first 52% Bat first 48%
  • Captains bowl first here. 37 of 53 toss winners have fielded at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium since 2020 (70%).(points to bowling first)
  • The sides differ. Pakistan have fielded in 5 of their last 10 tosses won; Sri Lanka have fielded in 6 of their last 10 tosses won.(points neither way)
  • Evening start. Dew can reach the second innings (18:00 local).(points to bowling first)
  • Chasing wins about half the time here (26 of 50).(points neither way)
  • Our call: bowl first — 52%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, amber to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2025-11-29PakistanFieldPakistanYes
2025-11-27PakistanFieldSri LankaNo
2025-11-25ZimbabweBatSri LankaYes
2025-11-23PakistanBatPakistanNo
2025-11-22Sri LankaBatPakistanYes
2025-11-20Sri LankaFieldZimbabweNo
2025-11-18PakistanFieldPakistanYes
2025-10-28PakistanFieldSouth AfricaNo
2025-05-19Karachi KingsFieldIslamabad UnitedNo
2025-05-18Peshawar ZalmiFieldLahore QalandarsNo

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Pakistan have chosen to field in 76 of the 154 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 6 field).

Sri Lanka have chosen to field in 65 of the 108 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 6 field).

Part of our call: it weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time.

Does the toss matter at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium?

In 50 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 26 (52%).

Start: 13:00 UTC · 18:00 local time (evening match).

How this PAK vs SL toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our call weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time, together with the pitch and team news, including who captains.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: how we score venue toss patterns.

PAK vs SL toss prediction FAQ

What is the PAK vs SL toss prediction?

Close call, leaning bowl first — weighing this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time, our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 52%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium?

In 50 decided men's T20 matches at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium in our data, the side batting second won 26 (52%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

We weigh how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss (recent seasons count most), the start time (an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first), the weather forecast (rain that could shorten the game pushes them to bowl first too), the pitch and team news, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →

Last updated: 2026-10-09. Published 2026-10-09.

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