New Zealand vs India 4th ODI Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Pick: India to win, at 60.8%.
India
New Zealand 39%
Toss Prediction
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 73%.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • Pick: India to win, at 60.8%.
- • Toss call: Field first, at 73%. See our toss analysis for NZ vs IND, locked in before the coin lands.
- • Key fact: India lead the five-match ODI series 2-0, so a win at Bay Oval gives them the series with one game to play.
- • Value: India's fair odds are 1.64, and 1xBet had them at 1.65 at 18:00 IST (10 November).
We back India, at 60.8%.
India lead the five-match ODI series 2-0, so a win at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui gives them the series with one game to play.
The 3rd ODI at Seddon Park in Hamilton was abandoned because of rain (10 November 2026), after India won the 1st and 2nd ODIs.
Both squads have changed for this day/night game. Shreyas Iyer captains India, after Shubman Gill and KL Rahul left the ODI squad to prepare for the Test series.
New Zealand lose several Test players from their squad on 11 November 2026, ahead of the 1st Test at the Basin Reserve in Wellington (19 November 2026).
Which team is stronger, New Zealand or India?
India, on this series. India dismissed New Zealand for 185 at Eden Park (4 November 2026) and for 134 in Wellington (7 November 2026).
Gurnoor Brar took 4 for 30 in 10 overs for India against New Zealand in the 2nd ODI (7 November 2026) and was player of the match.
Arshdeep Singh took 4 for 70 in 10 overs for India against New Zealand in the 1st ODI (4 November 2026).
India's batting has been patchier. Virat Kohli made 74 off 51 balls for India at Eden Park (4 November 2026), in a chase rain cut to 143 in 32 overs.
Shreyas Iyer made 30 off 46 balls for India against New Zealand in the 2nd ODI (7 November 2026), where India were 113 for 7 in 26 overs when rain stopped play.
New Zealand's strength is the new ball. Kyle Jamieson took 3 for 35 in 10 overs for New Zealand against India in the 2nd ODI (7 November 2026).
The runs are the worry. Mitchell Santner made 31 off 38 balls for New Zealand against India in the 2nd ODI (7 November 2026).
Key matchups: Virat Kohli against Jacob Duffy, Shreyas Iyer against Kyle Jamieson
Virat Kohli against Jacob Duffy. Jacob Duffy has had Virat Kohli out in both completed ODIs of this series.
Virat Kohli made 74 for India in Auckland (4 November 2026) before Jacob Duffy dismissed him. Three days later (7 November 2026), Jacob Duffy dismissed Virat Kohli for 7.
Bay Oval has suited Virat Kohli, who made 60 off 74 balls for India against New Zealand at the ground (28 January 2019).
Shreyas Iyer against Kyle Jamieson. Kyle Jamieson dismissed Shreyas Iyer for 30 when New Zealand played India on 7 November 2026.
India's new captain likes this ground. Shreyas Iyer made 62 off 63 balls for India against New Zealand at Bay Oval (11 February 2020).
Rohit Sharma against the new ball. Rohit Sharma made 87 off 96 balls for India against New Zealand at Bay Oval (26 January 2019), then 62 off 77 balls for India at the ground (28 January 2019).
New Zealand vs India head to head
New Zealand
2
India
3
Their five most recent completed ODIs, 11 January to 7 November 2026
India have won three of these five ODIs, and at Bay Oval India won on 26 and 28 January 2019 before New Zealand won on 11 February 2020.
New Zealand vs India pitch report: Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
A batting pitch, where India made 324 for 4 (26 January 2019) and New Zealand chased down 300 for 5 against India (11 February 2020).
The ground's two 2025 ODIs and India's ODIs there
England all out for 223 in 35.2 overs · New Zealand 224 for 6 in 36.4 overs, won by 4 wickets.
New Zealand 264 for 8 in 42 overs, won by 43 runs against Pakistan.
India 296 for 7 in 50 overs · New Zealand 300 for 5 in 47.1 overs, won by 5 wickets.
India 324 for 4 in 50 overs · New Zealand all out for 234 in 40.2 overs, a 90-run win for India.
Dry and partly cloudy, about 21°C at the start, with no rain forecast during the game. Forecast read 10 November, 17:57 IST.
New Zealand won the toss and bowled against England in Mount Maunganui (26 October 2025), then chased 224 for 6.
New Zealand vs India prediction: we back India at 61%
We back India, 60.8%, with the market at 57.7%.
The series is the reason. India beat New Zealand by 5 wickets at Eden Park (4 November 2026), then by 4 runs in Wellington (7 November 2026), both on the DLS method.
New Zealand's case is the ground. They chased 300 for 5 to beat India by 5 wickets in Mount Maunganui (11 February 2020).
1xBet had India at 1.65 at 18:00 IST (10 November), just above our fair 1.64, a marginal edge of about 0.3%.
What decides New Zealand vs India
- Jacob Duffy's first spell. Jacob Duffy dismissed Virat Kohli on 4 November 2026 and again on 7 November 2026.
- The toss. We expect the toss winner to bowl, at 73%, as India did in both completed ODIs of this series.
- New Zealand's runs. New Zealand made 337 for 8 against India at Indore (18 January 2026), then fell for 134 in the 2nd ODI of this series (7 November 2026).
Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 39.2% | 42.3% | 2.25 | 2.55 |
| India | 60.8% | 57.7% | 1.65 | 1.64 |
India's 1.65 sits just above our fair odds of 1.64. 1xBet had India at 1.65 and New Zealand at 2.25 at 18:00 IST (10 November).
That is a marginal edge of about 0.3% on India, and New Zealand's 2.25 sits under our 2.55. Odds captured on 10 November 2026.
Our model is 3 points above the market on India. Here's why. India won the 1st and 2nd ODIs, and their bowlers dismissed New Zealand for 185 and 134. New Zealand's case is Bay Oval, where they chased 300 for 5 against India (11 February 2020).
India tour of New Zealand 2026 ODI Series
New Zealand vs India odds
13 Nov 2026 · 07:30 IST
Match winner: New Zealand 2.34 at Dafabet; India 1.65 at 1xBet; checked 21:20–21:21 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1NZ | 2IND | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.34 | 2 · India 1.63 | Payout96.1% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.24 | 2 · India 1.64 | Payout95.1% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.24 | 2 · India 1.64 | Payout95.1% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.24 | 2 · India 1.64 | Payout95.1% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.24 | 2 · India 1.64 | Payout95.1% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.24 | 2 · India 1.64 | Payout95.1% |
 | 1 · New Zealand 2.25 | 2 · India 1.65 | Payout95.5% |
| Highest | 1 · New Zealand2.34 | 2 · India1.65 | Payout– |
1X2: New Zealand 2.26, Tie 50.00, India 1.65 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 21:20 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1NZ | XTie | 2IND | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · New Zealand 2.26 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.65 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.26 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.65 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.26 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.65 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.26 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.65 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.26 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.65 | Payout93.9% |
| 1 · New Zealand 2.26 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · India 1.65 | Payout93.9% |
Total runs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| New Zealand264.5 | 1.851xBet | 1.81Melbet |
| India272.5 | 1.85WinWin | 1.81Megapari |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win New Zealand vs India in the 4th ODI?
India. Our AI model gives them a 60.8% chance against New Zealand at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui (13 November 2026). India lead the five-match ODI series 2-0 after wins at Eden Park and in Wellington, and a third win gives them the series with one game to play.
What is the toss prediction for New Zealand vs India?
Field first, at 73%. India won the toss and bowled in both completed ODIs of this series (4 November and 7 November 2026). New Zealand won the toss and bowled against England at Bay Oval (26 October 2025), then beat England by 4 wickets at the ground.
What are the odds for New Zealand vs India?
1xBet had India at 1.65 and New Zealand at 2.25 at 18:00 IST (10 November). Our fair odds are 1.64 for India and 2.55 for New Zealand, so India's price sits just above our number and New Zealand's sits under it for this 4th ODI.
Is Bay Oval a batting or bowling pitch?
A batting pitch. India made 324 for 4 against New Zealand at Bay Oval (26 January 2019), and New Zealand chased 300 for 5 against India in Mount Maunganui (11 February 2020). England were all out for 223 at the ground (26 October 2025), and New Zealand won by 4 wickets.
When did New Zealand and India last play an ODI?
The last ODI between them with a result was on 7 November 2026 at Hnry Stadium in Wellington. New Zealand were all out for 134 in 41 overs, and India won by 4 runs on the DLS method. The 3rd ODI in Hamilton (10 November 2026) was abandoned because of rain.
What time does New Zealand vs India start?
At 7:30 am IST on 13 November 2026, which is 02:00 UTC. Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui hosts this day/night 4th ODI of India's tour of New Zealand. The forecast is dry and partly cloudy, at about 21°C for the start.
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